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Retail market still thriving

Even with added space, Las Vegas vacancy rate among lowest in nation

Despite higher construction and land costs, retail development in Las Vegas continued to flourish in the fourth quarter with 5.8 million square feet under construction, CB Richard Ellis brokerage firm reported.

And 15 million square feet in planning gives a glimpse into the future of the retail market, CB managing director Craig Shute said.


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  • Retail vacancy in Las Vegas remains among the lowest in the nation at 4.76 percent, he said.

    "Typically, retail follows rooftops and that's where you see it growing, on the fringes," Shute said. "But in time, you will see gentrification and older properties being redesigned and repositioned."

    While both developers and retails have increased the number of planned retail projects in Las Vegas, they have struggled to bring new retail online fast enough to meet the demand of Southern Nevada's population boom over the past two decades, Shute said.

    Las Vegas added 2.1 million square feet of retail space to the market in the fourth quarter, a majority of it in the Town Square mixed-use development on Las Vegas Boulevard South at Sunset Road.

    Plise Cos. started work on City Crossing, a $2 billion, 126-acre mixed-use project that will include 1 million square feet of retail near the Henderson Executive Airport.

    Mixed-use projects continue to be an important focus of developers as they strive to best use the increasingly expensive land, Shute said.

    Other notable retail projects in their early construction stages include the 1.4 million-square-foot Summerlin Center and the 700,000-square-foot The Village at Queensridge, bringing the mixed-use element to the master-planned Summerlin area.

    Still in planning are the Great Mall of Las Vegas, which would bring 1 million square feet of retail to the northwest submarket, and The District at Desert Star, which would add 1.2 million square feet to North Las Vegas.

    Triple Five Nevada plans to begin construction on the Great Mall of Las Vegas in the fall and has changed the design to an open-air, lifestyle center with two residential condominium towers. The Great Mall will have 185 stores and 12 restaurants.

    "People today prefer the outdoor environment instead of having to drive from venue to venue," said James Grindstaff, Triple Five's vice president of planning and development.

    Economists are pointing to a slowdown in consumer spending this year, which is a valid concern, CB's Shute said. However, it hasn't slowed retail development in Las Vegas.

    "A lot of national retailers still want to grow, and Las Vegas is one of the markets in the nation that still has positive population growth," he said. "And with the amount of investment on the Strip and what people are projecting for 2009, a lot of retailers want to commit now to projects."

    Monthly asking rents for retail space averaged $2.17 a square foot, not accounting for operating expenses, John Restrepo of Restrepo Consulting Group reported. That's up from $1.66 a square foot in fourth quarter of 2006.

    Anchored retail centers that came online in 2007 had much of their space preleased, reflecting the ongoing demand for retail services and products by the valley's rapidly growing population, Restrepo said.

    "We expect that as the new retail projects in the pipeline are completed, they will be quickly absorbed," he said. "However, the X-factor is, where is consumer confidence heading?"

    Applied Analysis showed fourth-quarter retail vacancy at 3.2 percent on an inventory of 48.7 million square feet. Net absorption, or the amount of space taken, was around 1.5 million square feet, with 2.4 million square feet under construction.

    "Consumer spending remains an area of concern for retailers and related commercial markets," Applied Analysis principal Jeremy Aguero said.

    Not only have current economic conditions had an impact on retailers from a sales perspective, Aguero said, but financial institutions are keeping a watchful eye on their performances and will likely require more stringent covenants while limiting expansion plans.

    Contact reporter Hubble Smith at hsmith@reviewjournal.com or (702) 383-0491.

    Fourth-quarter retail market

    Submarket Total
    square feet
    Vacancy Under
    construction (sf)
    Monthly
    rate (psf)
    Central East 6.9 million 5.25 percent 0 $1.57
    Central West 8 million 3.56 percent 49,785 $1.72
    East 2.4 million 3.27 percent 270,405 $1.91
    Henderson 13.4 million 5.24 percent 1.15 million $2.20
    Nellis 3.5 million 3.52 percent 0 $1.85
    North LV 4.6 million 6.77 percent 1.95 million $2.48
    Northwest 4.5 million 2.3 percent 566,515 $2.47
    Southwest 4.8 million 10.2 percent 1.6 million $2.56
    Summerlin 8 million 2.68 percent 154,771 $2.36
    Total 56.1 million 4.76 percent 5.76 million $2.17


    Source: CB Richard Ellis
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    Andrea Feodorov wrote on January 31, 2008 01:49 PM: Okay, now you see, this is the kind of arrogance that will take so many businesses down. The "build it and they will come" mentality. Well, guess what? That mentality is changing as we speak. I can't wait to see what your precious retail vacancy rates look like in 6 months.


    J wrote on January 30, 2008 04:37 PM: Well, Federov, wah wah wah. Yes, retail vacancy rates are peripheral to consumerism. They are only indirectly related to consumer habits. Businesses will open and operate regardless of consumer demand - they do it every day.

    Fools who leveraged their homes to finance a lifestyle beyond their means SHOULD be renting, and they WILL be spending no matter what.

    PS - I have had no problem getting financing for any of my projects, thanks to a high level of integrity and a proven ability to properly manage my finances.


    Paul wrote on January 30, 2008 02:29 PM: Gimme dollars


    Andrea Feodorov wrote on January 30, 2008 01:51 PM: um, J, what are YOU talking about?
    Retail vacancy rates are "peripheral" to consumerism? Tell you what. You go build all the retail outlets you want (assuming you can get the financing) while demand dries up from consumers who've lost their jobs, their homes, their cars, their savings, and their ability to borrow, and let me know if you still think it's a "peripheral issue." A revolution is taking place in the mindset of the once-predictable American consumer. And that revolution is all about demand and retail vacancy rates.


    J wrote on January 30, 2008 11:39 AM: Um, Mark, what are you talking about? This article was about retail vacancy rates and demand, which is only a peripheral issue to consumerism. Your resistance to consumer culture is your business, and it has nothing to do with retail demand now or in the future.


    Mark$ wrote on January 30, 2008 10:03 AM: You really have to love clueless "business" articles like this one .. The corporate media breathlessly report "growth" as if the Me Generation grand consumer shop-till-you-drop party will never end. It's getting to the point in America that nobody has any actual money, all we have are the constantly-expanding credit limits on our Master Visas. How many people doing all this fabulous shopping in heavenly Las Vegas ever actually intend to pay the bill! Boy is it going to be fun, when the whole credit House of Cards comes crashing down, in this country.