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April cruel to gaming stocks

Analyst warns more casino companies could cut jobs if slump persists

Publicly owned gambling companies lost 2.5 percent of their value in April, in large part due to economic tumult that has home prices in the basement and oil costs in the stratosphere.

Investors watched eight out of 10 gambling stocks lose ground on the Applied Analysis Gaming Index, which was down for the fifth time in the last six months.


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  • The index reflects broad, negative sentiment for the short-term prospects of Las Vegas, where visitation, hotel room rates and the amount of money gamblers lose to casinos have declined in recent months.

    Companies such as MGM Mirage and Station Casinos, the latter of which isn't on the index, have already cut their work forces in response to the slowdown.

    Brian Gordon, the Applied Analysis principal who compiles the index, said if Las Vegas doesn't pull out of its slump, there could be more job cuts by casino companies.

    "It is an unusual situation for them to deal with following several years of strong demand," Gordon said. "Should conditions worsen, there is potential for that."

    Only Wynn Resorts Ltd. and Pinnacle Entertainment, which has casinos in Indiana, Louisiana and Reno, managed to improve their positions on the index, which closed April at 499.20, down 12.7 points from the previous month.

    The average daily stock price for Wynn was up nearly 7 percent to $106.10. Pinnacle's increase was barely perceptible, a 1 cent increase to $14.08.

    Gordon said Wynn Resorts, which is in the process of expanding an existing casino in Macau and has land to build another, likely benefited from an April 22 announcement by a Chinese official that the government won't issue new gambling licenses on the island.

    "Those with licenses are potentially in a much better position," Gordon said. "Investors see that as a positive."

    Las Vegas companies already doing business in China such as Wynn, Las Vegas Sands Corp. and MGM Mirage will continue to increase their investment there.

    That's important to people in Nevada because it gives those companies, which employ tens of thousands of Las Vegas residents, opportunity to soften whatever damage American economic woes are doing to their stock prices.

    "The stock price is going to be based on the performance of the overall company," Gordon said. "What happens overseas is significantly important."

    The biggest declines on the index belonged to slot maker International Game Technology, down more than 16 percent, and MGM Mirage, which owns 10 Strip casinos, down 12 percent.

    At home, myriad economic factors are taking a toll.

    On Tuesday, Boyd Gaming Corp., which owns the Sam's Town, California Hotel, Main Street Station, Fremont, Gold Coast, The Orleans and Suncoast in Las Vegas, posted $32.6 million in losses for the first quarter.

    That helped it slide 4.11 percent from last month on the index. Boyd is down 61 percent from last year at this time.

    Boyd wasn't alone.

    "Many operators hit 52-week lows during the past month," the report accompanying the index update stated.

    "The national housing market remains a concern for investors, along with reduced consumer confidence levels, a slower employment outlook, elevated gasoline prices and continued uncertainty in the financial markets," it also said.

    More ominously for Las Vegas, perhaps, the report noted the Conference Board, which publishes a consumer confidence index, reported the number of Americans who say they plan to take a vacation in the next six months fell to a 30-year low.

    The notion that fewer people will take vacation jibes with figures published by the Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority that state airline and automobile traffic into Southern Nevada are also down.

    Contact reporter Benjamin Spillman at bspillman@reviewjournal.com or 702-477-3861.

    Average Daily Stock Price
    Mar Apr Percent change
    MGM Mirage $61.21 $53.67 -12.32 percent
    Las Vegas Sands $77.91 $73.65 -5.07 percent
    Wynn Resorts $99.23 $106.10 6.92 percent
    Boyd Gaming $19.79 $18.98 -4.11 percent
    Penn National $42.36 $42.06 -.70 percent
    Pinnacle Ent $14.07 $14.08 .05 percent
    Ameristar Casinos $18.63 $17.26 -7.35 percent
    Intl Game Technolgy $44.65 $37.46 -16.10 percent
    WMS Industries $38.55 $36.11 -6.32 percent
    Bally Technologies $35.68 $33.91 -4.97 percent
    SOURCE: Applied Analysis
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    chad wrote on May 01, 2008 02:30 PM: Well reality hits Vegas and everyone panics. But go ahead, keep paying your casino bosses 8 and 9 figure salaries, as they work so hard and contribute so much to society, and keep hiring assistants for assistants, so there are even more people aimlessly wandering around casinos doing nothing. And when tourists stop coming because of the economy, hit the panic button. But build more casinos, we don't have enough already.......This is a one industry town, and no one ever realized that fact til now.......


    creepshow wrote on May 01, 2008 10:23 AM: Well again I have to ask why LV feels it is immune to all the problems of this economy? This city just seems to think it is the exception to the rules.. property values dropping all over the country LV: "well that wont happen here.." unemployment issues everywhere LV: "we have a different economy here"...while the country is witnessing rising gas and food prices how do the casinos respond ? by raising hotel rates and other prices. When people start realizing that days of cheap buffets are gone and gambling is a losing proposition this city better look out.


    ex gambler wrote on May 01, 2008 10:23 AM: Just like the home buyer that got in over their heads, so did the gaming companies that kept building wihtout viewing the consequences. The gaming boom in Vegas is taking its toll. Too much competition with little effort to compete for the guests. Vegas has priced itself out of the markets by repeatedly raises prices. Long gone is the concept of Vegas being an affordable destination. Business is down so they can no longer afford the mortgage payments. Look for foreclosures in gaming companies.


    David wrote on May 01, 2008 09:22 AM: Maybe gamblers will finally realize that gambling is not one of the necessities of life. Of course, once the economy turns around (this may not happen for a long time), the gamblers will be back. Good luck, everybody!


    ET wrote on May 01, 2008 07:00 AM: The Casino Operators have lost there minds and lots of business.How, drinks are approaching $ 10.00, rooms $ 100.00,food very costly,gone are the days of hospitality and now the Casinos are feeling it.The Casinos shall get busy again when they get rid of the pencil pushers,take there salaries and give to the tourist,lower prices.Fuel is high $ 4.00 / gal., of set it with 40.00 rooms ,dollar drinks and loosen the machines.if you what business,lets have fun,no one likes sticker shock in Vegas.