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Unease sends index lower

U.S. consumer sentiment falls on fuel costs, job fears

NEW YORK -- Soaring gasoline prices and weakening job prospects left shoppers gloomier about the economy in May, sending a key barometer of consumer sentiment to its lowest level in almost 16 years.

The New York-based Conference Board said Tuesday that its Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 57.2, down from a revised 62.8 in April. Economists surveyed by Thomson Financial/IFR had expected a reading of 60.

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  • The May reading marks the fifth straight month of decline and is the lowest since the index registered 54.6 in October 1992, when the economy was coming out of a recession.

    Economists closely watch sentiment readings since consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of the nation's economic activity.

    "Weakening business and job conditions coupled with growing pessimism about the short-term future have further depleted consumers' confidence in the overall state of the economy," Lynn Franco, director of the Conference Board's Consumer Research Center, said in a statement.

    Franco said consumers' worries about inflation, fueled by increasing prices at the gas pump, are now at an "all-time high" and are likely to rise further in the months ahead. She added that based on consumers' outlook on the economy, she believes there's little likelihood of a quick turnaround.

    Mark Vitner, senior economist with Wachovia Corp., agreed, saying that as "awful as these numbers" look, he doesn't believe that confidence has bottomed out yet, an ominous sign for consumer spending.

    "Higher gasoline is of immediate concern," Vitner said. "A lot of the extra money is going toward gas and food." And he doesn't see consumer sentiment improving until gasoline prices start receding.

    The Conference Board index that measures shoppers' current assessment of economic conditions declined to 74.4 in May from 81.9 in April. The index that gauges their outlook over the next six months declined to 45.7 from 50.0 in April.

    The downbeat news came as investors received mixed news about the housing market. A closely tracked Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller index showed that housing prices dropped at the sharpest rate in two decades during the first quarter, indicating that the housing slump continues to deepen.

    The S&P/Case-Shiller national home price index fell 14.1 percent in the first quarter compared with a year earlier, the lowest since its inception in 1988. The quarterly index covers all nine U.S. Census divisions.

    But the Commerce Department announced that sales of new homes rose in April for the first time in six months although the unexpected increase still left activity near the lowest level in 17 years.

    Sales of new homes rose 3.3 percent in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 526,000 units, the agency said.



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    John O'Neill wrote on May 28, 2008 06:22 PM: This is not bad news for everbody: You see, I never bought a house...so...no housingcrisis for me, in fact, it's GREAT, the prices are coming back to me. I drive a small car, 30 mpg in town, gas prices aren't really hurting me, so, I rally don't feel an impact, other than some food price increases.
    This is GREAT for our country to see. To see how screwed up capatilism is when there are no rules applied, a la Reganomics.
    I beleive in the free market, with restrictions on th sizes of corporations (ant-trust) and strict banking and lending laws.
    Otherwise, you get hip-hop culture of cash and spending and the results speak for themselves.


    the dodger wrote on May 28, 2008 06:58 AM: Oh come on now Wild Bill, things are not that bad for everybody. You don't hear the oil executives complaining do you? Or how about the good people at Haliburton? (sarcasm intended)


    Wild Bill wrote on May 28, 2008 03:33 AM: Hurray for President Bush! Now the Consumer Confidence Index is at the lowest point .....since his father was in office.

    Those Bushes really know how to foul up things!