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Local existing-home sales surge

Resales pass 2,600 units for first month since March '07; new-home sales stall







The number of existing homes sold locally in May surged to its best showing in 14 months even as sales of new homes lagged, according to two new housing reports released this week.

Statistics from local research firms Home Builders Research and SalesTraq revealed a 5.2 percent jump in resales in May, with buyers snapping up 2,606 units. Buyers bought 2,477 existing homes in the same month a year ago.


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  • The last time resale closings surpassed 2,600 homes in a single month was March 2007. Closings on existing properties spent fall and winter mired at around 1,500 units a month.

    "May data for the Las Vegas housing market suggests that recovery has begun for the resale market," SalesTraq President Larry Murphy said.

    Sales of new homes, however, stayed below 1,000 units in May. With the exception of March, new-home sales have languished below 1,000 houses a month since January.

    "The new-home segment is idling, and kind of waiting for pent-up demand to hit them hard," Home Builders Research President Dennis Smith said. "Anytime you have a cycle like this, there's going to be some pent-up demand."

    Though they share separate fortunes, sales trends in the resale and new-home segments share links.

    Thanks partly to a bumper crop of foreclosures on the market in Las Vegas -- about a third of resale listings in the city are in default -- prices have plummeted 22.5 percent, or $65,000, from their October 2006 peak of $290,000. The lower prices are summoning buyers and investors back to the market, Smith said.

    But less-expensive resales also hurt demand for new homes, given buyers' perceptions that foreclosures are bargains relative to nondelinquent properties. Half of all resales sold locally in May were foreclosures, going for a median of $215,000. The median on nonbank-owned properties that closed in May came to $239,000. New homes posted a median of $269,990 in the month.

    The supply of resales on the market in May dropped to 20,573 units, down about 20 percent from 25,282 units a year earlier. That gives the market an existing-home inventory of about 10 months, Murphy said, just outside the six- to nine-month range analysts consider healthy.

    The indicators paint a picture of a market that could come back to life soon.

    "We're not on life support, and we're not even in critical condition anymore, but we are still in the hospital," Murphy said.

    The local analysts' improved resale reports follow other recent signs of life in the local market.

    A June 2 report from banking company National City Corp. and analysis firm Global Insight found that housing prices in Las Vegas returned to historic norms in the first quarter. The study's authors noted that additional price declines could visit Southern Nevada, but they called Las Vegas a "fairly valued market" and added that most of the area's price correction had passed.

    Plus, the median price of single-family homes sold through the Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors halted its yearlong slide in the spring, with prices rising slightly from April to May. Single-family homes sold through the association's members went for a median of $236,692 in May, up from $235,875 in April.

    Murphy said three indicators would signal recovery in the housing market: a decline in inventories, an increase in sales and a marketwide halt to falling prices.

    The first two have happened, but not the third.

    Analysts said May's results don't herald a permanent end to declines in local home prices and sales.

    Rising oil prices and a deteriorating job market could complicate chances for a widespread housing recovery, Murphy said. What's more, though banks sold about 1,300 foreclosures in May, they took possession of another 2,500 or so foreclosed homes in the same month. Until that statistic reverses itself, and banks are disposing of more homes than they're taking over, prices could continue to slump.

    And sales tend to turn sluggish in the warm summer months, Smith said, so closings will likely flatten and prices probably soften in the next few months. Expect a continuing credit crunch, with banks loath to lend to home buyers with less-than-perfect financial histories, to hamper the market, too.

    "The bad news is, it's not going to turn around overnight," Smith said. "It's going to take a while. Things will be flat, at best, for a while. If there's any good news, it's that anybody who can qualify for a home has the buying opportunity of a lifetime."

    Contact reporter Jennifer Robison at jrobison@reviewjournal.com or 702-380-4512.

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    Report abuse

    The Truth wrote on June 30, 2008 07:28 PM: Since when is being an advocate for affordable housing considered being negative?

    If we said that we hope gas prices would drop, would we be considered negative?

    It's just supply vs. demand. No emotions, just the truth. Supply far exceeds demand. If there's so much competition for houses, how come sales are still far below 2005 and 2006 even though LV has far more people? It's because the banks are playing with newbie investors that think they see a bottom.

    The foreclosure numbers are still too high to expect a turn around anytime soon. Supply is consistent even though banks are holding REOs off the market.

    If you're getting outbid right now, be thankful. You'll be able to pick up that same place a year from now for less. That's not being negative, it's an honest assessment of the current market, like it or not.


    Report abuse

    Jessica Johnson wrote on June 25, 2008 10:02 PM: Sales are up.
    Buyers are here.
    Prices are fabulous.
    Buyers and their Agents are discouraged though by how many offers they need to make on different properties before they are able to get anything accepted.
    I am a Broker, I and my Agents represent both Sellers and Buyers. We have recently been faced with a market in which REO or Foreclosure properties listed for sale already have 10 offers in on them within a few days of being listed. We see Buyers put offers in over list and not get their offer accepted. We see a what seems to be a bunch of REO's on the market, but few that last very long. People are still losing their homes from buying more home than they could afford & the creative financing but with the likehood of their inability to refinance and lack of funds to keep up their mortgages, we should (in my opinion) see an eventual decline in the foreclosers relatively soon.
    So yes, although more may come, I believe they will not last long at this rate. There are people lining up to buy at these prices.


    Report abuse

    Paul wrote on June 24, 2008 09:10 AM: Negative know-it-all (not to mention illiterate) jerkoffs like most of you have always tried to kick Las Vegas when it has been down. I've been here 50 years and have watched it surge and flatten, surge and flatten, but it always surges. Las Vegas encapsulates the spirit of the United States like no other city. It's not for crybabies, the weak-hearted, or the lazy. So please, your presence here is nothing but negative; your long faces are making me sick and your whiny entitled attitudes have no place in a city of constant promise. Get out of town, because those of us who love Las Vegas really do not have time listen to your B.S. prognostications. We have work to do.


    Report abuse

    J wrote on June 24, 2008 09:02 AM: You folks are a bunch of whiny negative losers. And we all know what Las Vegas does to losers. Don't let the door hit your a** on the way out of town, crybabies. But in all seriousness ... LEAVE LAS VEGAS PLEASE.


    Report abuse

    The Truth wrote on June 23, 2008 04:00 PM: Ok, let's get this "multiple offer" noise out on the table. Here's what's going on...

    Banks are listing properties for well below what they think is market value in order to draw in buyers. Buyers, attracted by the low asking price, throw offers at the property while the bank sits back and takes their time responding. They then take the highest acceptable offer and hope it closes.

    These buyers are simply participating in an informal auction. This is how you move property fast... price it low and get some bidders, ummm buyers.

    Now let's think about the stats for a second. It seems that there are folks here that want us to believe there is a feeding frenzy going on. If that's the case, then why is there still 12 months of inventory. How can it be a frenzy if only 1 in 10 homes available sells???

    Furthermore, the foreclosure pipeline is still full with no end in sight. The numbers set records a couple of months ago and those homes aren't even on the market yet.... yet. And don't get me started on Alt A's.

    So, although there are some good signs out there, let's not forget that we're comparing them to 1 year ago. Anybody here regard May 2007 as a banner month? Perhaps the paper should also mention that sales are still well below (30% below) 2005 and 2006 numbers, when the boom was clearly over.

    But wait, how many more people does Vegas have compared to 2 or 3 years ago? Probably 100,000 more people, yet sales are still lower?

    The bottomline is that more sales is good, but there is still more supply than demand and that means prices will be going down for a while.


    Report abuse

    Ismo K. DaKine wrote on June 22, 2008 05:02 PM: man!! talk about gloom and doomers in this blog. I know htings are bad, but some of you people should just drive out to the desert and end it for yourselves. If you all feel that negative about vegas then why in the heck are you living here?!?! If you also think that things are that bad and we are all going to hell then that is another reason to end it for yourselves. Face it, we still have it pretty good here in the US even when our economy is in the crapper. We all have roofs over our heads, food on the table, a car(s) parked in the driveway and electricity and running water at the flip of a switch. Yes, things have gotten dramatically overpriced but do you all realize how bad billions of people on this planet live compared to us lucky individuals here in the US?? Stop and think about what you have and then compare that to billions living with nothing in most of the African nations, the barrios of south america or those living under dictatorships in a country like North Korea. Why do you think millions want to come to this country? The US offers something no other country in this world can offer.

    So stop whining when you all have a lifestyle billions of people would die for!!


    Report abuse

    Kumar wrote on June 21, 2008 03:05 PM: For the last 6 months I am been looking to buy my first house (saw about 60 detached foreclosed homes). Finally I successfully closed an escrow for a 2,400 sf (5,000 sf lot) house built in 2005 in Green Valley (3 miles from my work) for 235K. For a 5.5% FHA rate, my payment is about $1,600. In this small gated community similar home we sold for about 510K at the peak time. That is a drop of 54%.

    According to Prediction Guru’s, Las Vegas already had a drop of 30% & some of them are still predicting about 20% in coming years. So do the math, I already bought a house at the rock bottom (with 54% drop from peak).

    By the way you guys cannot believe how many offers I have to make before this. Each and every time I was out bid by other offers (in one case about 40K more than list price).

    So I believe this is the right time to buy.


    Report abuse

    Alex wrote on June 21, 2008 11:10 AM: I am a Realtor, specifically a buyer's agent, and all I can say is that I've seen a huge increase in my business from the end of April until now. It was a slow drip of buyers for the first part of this year, and now its like a dam burst.

    Another piece of anecdotal evidence I'm noticing is that we're putting offers on these REPOs, and finding that there is usually already an offer on the property whereas before a client could take a look at a house and decide a month later he wanted to put an offer on it and it would likely still be there, without offers.

    I agree with some people here that people have been unjustifiably optimistic in the past, and the national/global economy doesn't look all that great. But from my experience, Vegas has been in a bad housing slump for a while now and it actually does seem to be turning around. Local economies do not always sync up with national or global ones. A lot of people who were prudent two years ago are seeing that they can get a really nice house now.


    Report abuse

    Liz wrote on June 20, 2008 01:18 PM: J...totally agree!


    Report abuse

    J wrote on June 20, 2008 11:55 AM: The world is over, I guess there's just no point going on.... Give me a break, these negative comments are ridiculous... (and 99% are from non-home owners who are hoping the prices drop so they can afford a home...ironic isn't it?) Take the article for what it is and move on.... Good grief!


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