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LOCALS RETREAT

'I WISHED I'D PULLED EVERYTHING OUT OF THE MARKET'

The stock market looks like a war zone, whether it's viewed at the grass-roots level of individual investors, from the perspective of local public companies or in the market averages.

"I wished I'd pulled everything out of the market now," said Marinus Baadsgaard, 59, senior engineer with the Clark County Water Reclamation District. "I might still pull it out if things keep going down the drain."


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Baadsgaard said he's glad he cut his stock holdings to 30 percent and boosted fixed-income investments to 70 percent in his retirement accounts before the market started to crumble.

While some advisers urge him to buy stocks because they are cheaper, he wonders: "How long can you afford to wait (for stock prices to rebound)?"

Some friends tell him they have lost one-third of their money in 401(k) retirement accounts and now will need to work longer before retiring.

His father-in-law lost $1 million of a $1.2 million investment portfolio in the dot-com bubble in 2001 and died the following year.

The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 678.91 points, or 7.33 percent, Thursday, bringing the year-to-date loss to 35.32 percent.

Casino stocks have been the real losers this year, however. The S&P Casino and Gaming Index closed at 180.37, down 64.6 percent for the year. The index dropped 6.1 percent on Thursday, a small bump on a sickening roller-coaster ride.

Las Vegas Sands Corp., Riviera Holdings Corp., Boyd Gaming Corp. and MGM Grand have lost 84 percent or more of their market value since reaching their 52-week highs. Wynn Resorts Ltd. is off 68 percent from its high.

Wynn could take comfort Thursday in news it won a decision at the Nevada Supreme Court against a legal challenge over tip-sharing practices.

Yet casino operators have bigger problems than tip disputes. The Nevada gaming win for August fell 8.1 percent from a year ago, the state reported, and analysts were quick to point to casino debt problems.

"Reported gaming revenue in Las Vegas and Atlantic City continues to decline, and the consequent decrease in (cash flow) at many of the larger operators is likely to cause bank covenant violations by the end of the year," Gimme Credit Research reported Thursday.

"MGM Mirage and Wynn Resorts have already sought and achieved amendments to relax bank covenants," the firm said. "Both MGM and Wynn are spending heavily on new developments in Las Vegas that are straining their balance sheets."

Riviera Holdings Corp. has more debt than capital. Its debt represents 127 percent of total capital, according to Bloomberg.

Other Strip casino operators have less onerous but still heavy debt loads.

Las Vegas Sands' debt represents 77 percent of total capital. Wynn Resorts and MGM Mirage both show debt at about 65 percent of total capital. Boyd Gaming follows with debt at 62 percent of total capital.

Banks stocks sold off locally and nationally Thursday as the Securities and Exchange Commission lifted a ban on shorting financial stocks. In a short sale, a speculator borrows shares and sells them in hopes he can buy the shares back at a lower price later.

Western Alliance Bancorporation and Community Bancorp both dropped more than 20 percent Thursday. Community Bancorp has fallen 83 percent from its 52-week high, and Western Alliance shares have dropped 63 percent from their 52-week high.

"It's short or sell first and ask questions later (on bank stocks)," said Tim Coffey, vice president of research at FIG Partners, a brokerage specializing in bank stocks.

"You'll see some quality banks that are fine operationally being sold off 10 to 20 percent," Coffey said.

The price declines are particularly steep at bank holding companies that investors believe need to raise capital, which has become increasingly difficult, he said.

Even utility shares were slammed Thursday. Southwest Gas Corp. shares fell 9 percent, and Sierra Pacific Resources shed 1.3 percent. The two Nevada-based utilities are trading near 52-week lows.

Contact reporter John G. Edwards at jedwards@reviewjournal.com or 702-383-0420.

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spend a recession in the U.S. wrote on October 10, 2008 09:56 PM: Uh, you're going to get to spend a depression in the U.S. You have a lot of nerve calling a demodrat a socialist when the current socialist movement happening is by none other than the so called conservatives.

Why is it that Republicans refuse to take responsibility for what they have destroyed.

I remember the chimp saying I'm gonna give you some of your own money back. You suckers fell for the bait and took it hook line and sinker. Be happy you voted for this and you are getting it.


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John Galt wrote on October 10, 2008 03:03 PM: I'm a 36-year old small business owner and professor of finance at a small college. Despite my time horizon and education that teaches me to stay in stocks, I still reduced my holdings in common stock by 85% on TUE. I just don't feel comfortable with the level of federal intervention in the market place. I view the investment bank bailouts, potential home owner bailouts, emergency loans to large businesses, federal acquisition of bank stock, etc.; all signs of a federal government that is seriously concerned and is willing to make socialist choices that to me seem very unusual for America. The government is now over $10 trillion in debt, the nation appears to be electing a socialist-democratic candidate, and I understand that unless government axes spending (don't see that happening), taxes on both businesses and consumers will increase. Not a pretty picture. I love my country, but I don't think she (meaning both government and consumers) has done a good job of managing her money. I don't want to leave my children and grandchildren a country that is worse off economically because of poor money management. I hope that the majority of the population will peacefully demand a slashing of all government budgets, we payoff this national debt, and that this country will once embrace individual responsibility and free market capitalism. This is the greatest country in the world. I served in the military, have travelled around the world, and I would rather spend a recession in the U.S. than in any other country. But this country and its people better get it's financial house in order.


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Vince wrote on October 10, 2008 11:08 AM: People who a 'bailing' out of the market are assuring themselves of losses. They have NO upside potential.

And of course, by selling they are adding to the problem. Kind of like a run on a bank.

Remember, in the stock market for EVERY seller their is a BUYER. Somebody is buying what they are selling.


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2zero wrote on October 10, 2008 09:13 AM: Calculating your losses based on the high peak value of a given stock is fuzzy math.

I remember when Enron went belly up and there were all the reports of folks who lost hundreds of thousands of dollars. A friend at the time who was hurt by the Enron implosion would always tell me he lost a million dollars.

In fact if you took the peak stock price he did. One day I asked him what he actually paid for his Enron stock and he told me he began buying it at $8 dollars and stopped when it got to $50.00. The stock peaked at $85 so his losses were far less than he claimed and the media reported.

Farmers do not count chickens until they hatch and even then they know there will be some that just do not make it to maturity nd "laying goldern eggs" for them!

Of courses farmers are smart not to let a "fox" in the hen/white house!