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HOUSING: FORECLOSURE WOES RISE

Nevada still tops nation in preforeclosures







Foreclosures have nearly tripled in Clark County through September, and the number coming down the pike is growing, a California-based online foreclosure source reported.

Foreclosures.com counted 3,563 real estate-owned properties in Clark County taken back by lenders in September, bringing the year-to-date total to 22,543. That's up from 7,704 in the same period a year ago.


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  • Clark County preforeclosures, which include notices of default and auctions before actual foreclosure, numbered 6,565 in September, compared with 5,360 in the previous month. The total through September stands at 49,364, already shattering last year's total of 33,953.

    It's the first comprehensive look at foreclosure numbers in the wake of the nation's financial markets fiasco and congressional bailout. The analysis shows the foreclosure tidal wave is unabated.

    Nationwide, foreclosures rose 6.6 percent for the month, 25.8 percent for the third quarter and 82.6 percent from a year ago. Banks have kicked nearly three-quarters of a million owners out of their homes this year, including more than 107,500 in September, Foreclosures.com reported.

    Nevada continues to lead the nation with 77.8 preforeclosure filings for every 1,000 households, an increase of 115 percent from a year ago. Arizona is next with 74.6 filings, followed by Florida (64.2) and California (31.5).

    "Overall, looking at it right now, over 9 percent of households in Las Vegas are in foreclosure," Foreclosures.com President Alexis McGee said Friday. "That's not good because the national average is 2 percent. That's the bad news."

    Foreclosures remain on track to surpass 1 million by the end of the year, and preforeclosures could end up near a record 2 million, she predicted.

    The numbers aren't all glum. Preforeclosure filings dropped 2.4 percent in September, led by double-digit declines in California (38.6 percent), Michigan (36.2 percent) and Texas (13.1 percent).

    "Looking at Las Vegas, they're definitely up and down," McGee said. "They're up in July, down in August, up again in September. There's really no trend there. It's kind of odd. It's in a range."

    The decline in preforeclosures is great news as the nation's financial markets struggle to regroup in the wake of the credit market meltdown, McGee said. Especially in California, the drop in part is the result of new laws that require mortgage lenders to give financially strapped homeowners extra time to work things out before a foreclosure notice is filed.

    "That means in another month or so, preforeclosure filings probably will spike again because tens of thousands of overextended homeowners remain in financial trouble with their mortgages," she said.

    Las Vegas will probably see a slowdown in defaults and foreclosures in the short term with the introduction of new government bailout programs, Steve Hawks of ReMax Platinum said.

    It will keep people in their homes for a while, but the long-term trend will most likely be an increase in defaults and foreclosures, he said.

    "The good news is that activity has picked up for now," Hawks said. "The bad news is many homeowners are seeing their equity and, for some, their nest egg wiped out."

    Some homeowners who owe more than their home is worth may qualify for help. For example, if they live in the house, did not misrepresent their income on their original loan and can qualify for a loan at 95 percent of the current home value, they might be able to stay in their home, Hawks said.

    But a large percentage of original loans were done without income verification. If the homeowner cannot qualify for one of these programs, they're probably "dead in the water," he said.

    "One thing is certain, the people buying now at 50 percent less than their neighbors is obviously going to cause more foreclosures, short sales or writedowns as current homeowners upside down by 50 percent see the time and cost of recovery as just too far off," Hawks said.

    Foreclosure sales continue to weigh heavily on home prices in markets with the largest price declines, according to Radar Logic's Residential Property Index. The New York-based company tracks 25 metropolitan statistical areas, including Las Vegas, where the median existing home price dropped to $195,000 in September.

    Radar Logic Chief Executive Officer Michael Feder sees two processes at work in the nation's housing markets.

    "On one hand, there is the traditional market process in which sellers and buyers negotiate a price and sellers frequently prefer to wait rather than significantly reduce their asking price," he said. "On the other hand, there is the foreclosure sale process in which homeowners, banks and other financial institutions are motivated to sell quickly, so they discount their prices to effect a transaction.

    "What we are seeing now is a situation in which the latter process is driving prices down in markets with relatively high concentrations of foreclosures, while the traditional process is the primary driver of MSA-level prices in markets with lower rates of foreclosure," Feder said.

    Tim Kelly, REO specialist for Brodkin Group, said thousands of real-estate owned properties are coming down the pipeline as some 250 notices of default are filed daily in Clark County.

    "It will be kind of like a small avalanche," he said. "But no one really knows for sure and hopefully the new bailout plan will help."

    Contact reporter Hubble Smith at hsmith@reviewjournal.com or 702-383-0491.

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    alison wrote on October 16, 2008 09:47 AM: The deregulation of the housing market, making it easier for unqualified people, who didn't have to prove income, was passed by Clinton. Just because the results of that law took 10 years to hit, doesn't mean it wasn't a democrats fault for the current crises.


    rb wrote on October 14, 2008 01:26 AM: All these new jobs coming online, how will they fill them if you have bad credit? They all require a clean credit report. I wonder how many people are leaving LV now?


    Craig Simpson wrote on October 12, 2008 12:39 AM: McCain voted to deregulate America's financial infrastructure causing the global melt down that we now have.

    And this idiot wants to be President....I DON'T THINK SO!

    When you lose your job and your house, you can thank McCain!

    Stand up America! We can't afford another 4 years of McBush!


    2zero wrote on October 11, 2008 06:44 PM: Paper machete houses built on 2" slabs by third world craftsmen. Priceless!


    Buy Now, BUY NOW! wrote on October 11, 2008 05:59 PM: Hello,, this is your neigborhood bimbo realtor again-

    Please ignor this bad news. Be the first to lead and BUY, BUY, BUY!! Buy as much as you can afford, even if you need a payday loan from Kosters and a few extra dollars from Uncle Vinny

    Only a fool wouldn't buy. Prices can go no where but up, up, up. Us bimbo realtors believe 20% price appreciation per year for the next 10 years. You can be a rich millionaire so BUY, BUY, BUY!!!!!


    Furious wrote on October 11, 2008 05:52 PM: Leric,
    You're absolutely right. A one-horse town is no different than an investor who doesn't diversify. Speculators who hocked their kids to buy $500K and $600K homes in 2004-05 were so enamored of their potential ROI they failed to consider the prevailing wage. Similarly, our elected officials have been so beholden to casino moguls, they've failed to increase taxes, leaving us unable to improve our schools and community services to attract other industries.


    Equal Standard wrote on October 11, 2008 04:07 PM: Upside-down Investors (landlords) are equally, if not more, deserving of help. Otherwise, they will walk too!

    EVERYONE HONEST who is upside down should be helped, because they have been harmed by the LIARS!

    Repeat after me: No help for Liars; all help for honest borrowers!


    Leric Goodman wrote on October 11, 2008 02:28 PM: There is another component which simultaneously decreases the demand side and increases the supply side for housing, contributing to further price declines. That factor is the rising unemployment rate. Las Vegas is basically a one-industry town. That industry is suffering a decline. Less employment and lower wages yield demand for goods and services, which yields further reduction in demand for goods and services ... which translates into less ability to pay for housing and ultimately, into a lower population.


    SimpleFacts wrote on October 11, 2008 02:03 PM: I am going to buy 2 homes when the housing market bottoms.

    Fortunately, we saw this coming and put our money in a safe investment.


    Furious wrote on October 11, 2008 01:34 PM: Hawks' statement that people can avoid foreclosure if they live in their homes, didn't misrepresent their income and qualify for a loan at 95% of their home's current value is disingenuous. Yes, new regulations have been passed to give banks leeway to make such loans, but participation is strictly voluntary. And trust me, banks aren't going to rewrite their loans for drastically reduced amounts just to help a struggling homeowners. They'll sell the home outright for the same reduced amount and get the cash right away. Nice try, Steve.


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