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HOUSING MARKET: LV home sales soar in November

Prices continue fall, but rate of decline dips under 3 percent







The bottom of the Las Vegas housing market appears to be taking shape late in the year.

Home sales have improved and inventory has been reduced. Prices continue to fall, but the rate of decline has dropped under 3 percent for the last two months.


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  • The Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors reported 2,183 single-family home sales in November, more than double the 968 home sales in the same month a year ago.

    The number of homes available for sale declined 3.1 percent to 22,770 in November from a year ago and the median home price fell 32 percent to $186,000. The price is down just 2.1 percent from October.

    It's the third straight month that home sales have doubled from a year ago. That trend is expected to slow during the Christmas holidays, said Patty Kelley, president of the Realtors association.

    Statistics generally show home sales peaking in the summer and slowing in the winter, she said.

    Foreclosures are still having a significant effect on the local housing market, Kelley said. They're adding to the inventory and driving down home prices, which is making Las Vegas more affordable for qualified buyers.

    Realtor David Lampe of Coldwell Banker Wardley said he put a two-bedroom, 1,127-square-foot home in Henderson in escrow Monday for $120,000. It's a short sale, or a sale for less than the balance owed on the mortgage, and must be approved by the bank.

    "Everything that's moving is REOs (real estate-owned) and short sales. That's 80 percent of it," Lampe said.

    "It's not hard to get them in escrow, but realize typically when you send in a letter of hardship with the offer, it takes three or four weeks to get assigned, then four to six weeks to get processed and another four to six weeks to OK it. The short sale is about a three- to four-month deal and buyers need to be aware of that," Lampe also said.

    Loan servicers are finding solutions to those problems, bringing in companies to outsource short sales, said Travis Hamel Olsen, president of Scottsdale, Ariz.-based National Short Sales Center. He's currently processing 2,000 short sale loans, primarily in Nevada, Arizona, California and Florida.

    "Do your research and make sure you walk into a property with equity already in it," he said. "REOs and short sales are the best deals in the marketplace."

    The nation's foreclosure hemorrhage has finally slowed. Foreclosures.com reported a slight drop in November foreclosures to 84,291 compared with 84,534 in the previous month. Clark County had 2,974 foreclosures, up from 2,653 in October. However, preforeclosure filings dropped to 5,830 from 6,429.

    Foreclosures.com President Alexis McGee said foreclosures should decline significantly next year as buyers return, pushing home prices up and fueling a real estate recovery.

    "Recovery is under way. Affordable is back in the housing market," McGee said. "In 2009, housing will not only recover, but we'll see buyers leap into this market in droves, depleting our housing oversupply, and actually put higher price pressures on the market."

    Las Vegas Realtors sold 392 condos and townhomes in November at a median price of $90,750, down nearly 50 percent from a year ago.

    Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors statistics are based on data collected through the Multiple Listing Service, which does not account for new homes sold by builders, sales by owners and other transactions not involving a Realtor.

    Contact reporter Hubble Smith at hsmith@reviewjournal.com or 702-383-0491.

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    Rent now, buy in 2010 wrote on January 03, 2009 11:01 AM: Vegas is unique. It's economy is based on discretionary spending. There are fewer visitors and they are spending less here. The unemployment rate should go from 8% to at least 10% in 2009. Property investors will find better rates of return in stocks. I'd rather bet the residential and commercial property inventory in Vegas goes way up in 2009. I agree, the Review Journal article is a dishonest attempt at marketing homes.


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    David Cee wrote on December 16, 2008 02:55 AM: Bail-out loans to Wall Street and the Big 3 Auto Companies, and with interest rates approaching zero, hyper inflation is the next "bubble" Real assets, like homes, will soar. The stock market "pnzi scheme" has left gold and real assets (houses) as the only place for investment. I'm betting inflation will bail out LV housing


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    Ric wrote on December 15, 2008 10:07 AM: There has been a temporary hold on new foreclosures. 2009 and 2010 will see a new and somewhat bigger wave of foreclosures as teaser rate mortgage rates increase and Optional pay mortgages reset to higher rates and add the deferred interest plus principle to the note balance of the new mortgage. Not only will the new payments be beyond the owners ability to pay but they'll be up-side down. This market will bottom in late 2010 or 2011.


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    Get Real wrote on December 11, 2008 07:10 PM: I don't know who's stupider -- the people being quoted or the person who quoted them.

    Are they going to give loans to everybody who just went through a foreclosure or who got laid off?

    How about the fact that some major lenders have slowed down on filing foreclosures?

    And in case anybody forgot.. November of 2007 was absolutely brutal in sales.

    Prices Only went down 2% in one month? That equates to ONLY a $6,000 loss on a $200,000 home.... in one month!

    YIPPEEE!!


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    GeorgeRay wrote on December 11, 2008 10:34 AM: I'm planning on retiring in a year or so and would like to retire to Las Vegas for six months of the year, but, unfortunately, I don't know much about "best" place to live. I'd like to buy a townhouse about 20 minutes from the strip in a decent neighborhood. I would like to spend less than $200K, but, of course, I'd surely like a bargain. And until I retire, I'd probably like to rent it out to cover most or all of the mortgage. Any thoughts? My email address is grayinvienna@gmail.com


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    Doom and Gloom wrote on December 11, 2008 06:42 AM: Mark - Where are you people getting your information? When people refinance their home, it is not counted as a resale. A resale is the transfer of real property from seller to buyer, and documented through the multiple listing service. Resale numbers do not even include "for sale by owner" stats, so why do you insist that they would include a refinance - which isn't even a transfer of the property, and does not involve a member of the GLVAR.

    Also, regarding unemployment - yes, unemployment is up, BUT so is total employment. Yes, there are more people employed today than there were a year ago. Because more people are moving here! For many moving here, the prospect of finding a job is much better than where they came from.


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    Da Truth wrote on December 11, 2008 04:39 AM: Three points:

    1. Resales are below 2003, 2004, and 2005 levels. Comparing only to last year, when everything dried up, is silly. In addition, the housing market consists of resales and NEW housing. The new housing sales are well below all of the past 5 years.

    2. This is really a supply vs. demand issue. I've read that Vegas is slightly losing population, but yet there are new homes currently available and many waiting to be built. Throw in unemployment and it's clear there are fewer qualified buyers in Vegas than in past years. The real boom in prices in late 2003/early 2004 happened when resale inventory was extremely low... under 3 months. We're still at 10 or more months, at least.

    3. Finally, "Clark County had 2,974 foreclosures, up from 2,653 in October". Ok, 2,183 SFH sales + 392 condo sales = 2,575 total. So there were more foreclosures in Nov than sales, not exactly a sign of "recovery" (supply isn't drying up as this article implies).

    Best of all, let us not forget that median SFH prices have fallen $50,000 since the RJ's "Feeding Frenzy" article on Apr 8 when the president of GLVAR said, "she doesn't expect them to go much lower because they're now selling for less than what it would cost to build that same home today."

    My advice is to beware the propaganda, wait until prices stabilize for a couple of months AND inventory gets down to 6 months or less. The fact that SFH prices fell "only" 2.1% from October means you only lost $4k last month... and the RJ apparently thinks that's fantastic!!! Propaganda.


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    Mark wrote on December 10, 2008 07:56 PM: Just because the houses were priced at say 300k and now its worth say 180k, that doesn't make the house undervalued, because it was way overpriced at 300k when it was only worth 80k to 90k to begin with.

    Home sales are soaring, every refinance is considered a sale, and thats the majority of whats going on, dont get me wrong there are actual sales but majority of them are refinances.

    Who in there right mind would still overpay in this economy. Its a better pricing now than in 2006 but still not a stable economy.....Is Vegas adding any jobs??


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    Danny wrote on December 10, 2008 07:44 PM: It's up? Wait! i thought yesterday they said it was down? And the day before they said we were stabilizing...then the day before they said we are going to become a ghost town....

    Oh, please make up your mind!!!


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    LV High School Diploma RE Broker wrote on December 10, 2008 06:12 PM: ARMS reset in 2009/10, 1 Trillion.... out of the 5 Trillion mtge market = 20% LOL...yeah, good times ahead.

    BTW 75% of those who had their mortgages readjusted for "hardtimes" ended up failing to make on-time payments less than 3 months later.


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