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Business


LV home prices fall to level not seen since 2003

Analyst sees no need for new homes







After showing improvement in December, the Las Vegas housing market relapsed in January with a drop in sales and a steeper slide in prices.

The Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors reported 2,224 single-family home sales in January, a 126.2 percent increase from the same month a year ago, but down 11 percent from December. Sales began trending up in May, topping 2,000 and staying there for the rest of 2008.


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The median home price fell to $160,000, a 36 percent decrease from a year ago and an 8.6 percent decrease from December. Median home prices were last at that level in 2003, according to Home Builders Research.

Condos and townhomes experienced similar trends. Sales increased 161.9 percent to 440 units, while median prices dropped 50.6 percent to $80,000.

Inventory of homes for sale remained steady at 21,935, down 0.9 percent from a year ago.

The $15,000 tax break for homebuyers approved by the Senate last week should help to revitalize the downtrodden housing market, said Sue Naumann, president of the Realtors association.

A bigger issue, she said, is for banks to release their stranglehold on lending practices.

"We'll have to see what transpires. Just like everything, when the government tries to get in the middle with intervention, they don't know the business," Naumann said. "I don't see how they could stop a foreclosure. That would be contractual interference. The only thing they can do is make it easier to refinance at a fixed rate and keep more people in their homes."

Excessive inventory, foreclosures, job layoffs and tough financing will keep prices down this year, said Ken Lowman, owner of Luxury Homes of Las Vegas.

Home-builder confidence is at a record low. Builders have dramatically reduced housing starts, pulling just 6,129 new permits in Las Vegas in 2008, a 58 percent decrease from the previous year, according to Home Builders Research.

But that's a good sign for the local housing market, Lowman said.

"The market is telling all the home builders that we have too much inventory," he said. "There is a massive overhang of unsold homes, including new homes and foreclosure homes. The market doesn't need any more new homes to be built when there are so many still waiting for a buyer."

Rob Jenson of ReMax Central said the market gave back some of the gains it made in December.

January showed a decline in total sales, including the number of distress sales. Average sales price fell 7.3 percent, the biggest monthly drop in more than a year, he noted. The supply of single-family homes crept up to 10.9 months.

There were no sales of million-dollar condos and only three sales of single-family homes over $1 million, compared with five the previous month.

Lower interest rates and a drop in average prices are attracting more bargain hunters to Las Vegas, Jenson said. Foreclosures and short sales accounted for 88 percent of monthly sales.

That presents buying opportunity, Naumann said. She sold a home in January to a young couple looking to start a family. The home was previously purchased as a foreclosure and was resold after remodeling.

"We looked at bank-owned homes and they're not all that much of a bargain because so much work has to go into it," Naumann said. "If we're not at the bottom, we're pretty dang close. We're seeing a lot more investors come in and buy homes and put them in the rental pool."

Applied Analysis research firm showed a dip in the number of resale homes on the market to 21,868 homes in the first week of February, a decline of 263 units from the previous week. About 35 percent of homes listed for sale were identified as repossessions or bank-owned.

The number of homes listed as contingent or pending sale increased for the fourth consecutive week to 6,989 units. Compared to the prior year, the number of contingent and pending units is up 142 percent, a reflection that sales figures have increased during the same period. About 8 percent of pending units are classified as short sales, which must be approved by the lender.

Contact reporter Hubble Smith at hsmith@reviewjournal.com or 702-383-0491.


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Johnathan L. Abbinett wrote on February 12, 2009 12:28 AM: But, you had better have an EXCELLENT Credit Score of 720 to 750, and a lot of money in savings, and very little credit card debt to be able to get a loan - it is ridiculous what the banks are requiring now!

Only the rich who have near perfect credit, lots of assets and cash, and almost zero credit debt are able to get a loan - so, once again the rich get richer and the middle class gets ripped off, and the poor get more!

This is NOT the sort of change we need!


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Doom and Gloom wrote on February 11, 2009 11:07 PM: I think it is funny when everyone blames REALTORS and their commissions. First off, if you don't like their fees - do it yourself...even in this market. There are so many houses out there, if you are a buyer, seriously, go find a house on your own. Let me know how that works out for you.

If you are a seller - even better luck to you.

The problem, starting back in about 2004, wasn't that REALTORS were driving up the prices by simply advising clients to write offers $40K over list price...the problem was that there was a serious lack of inventory. There were only a few thousand homes on the market, and very, very few under $200K. It was the buyer who got frustrated in getting beat out offer after offer, who asked the agent "What do I need to do to get my offer accepted?" The REALTORS response was, "Well, if you want your offer accepted..." (see response by 'Prices_Will_Go_Lower', below). So, that's the agent's fault? That's stupid. It was simple supply and demand. There were so few homes on the market that buyers were rushing at anything that hit the market because there was a fear that they would never get a home. Seller's (including new home builders) obviously took advantage so they could make more money. Then, more of the new home builders all rushed out, pulled a TON of new home permits and flooded the market with inventory. Fast forward to today - tons of homes in resale inventory, and new home builders are hardly pulling any new permits....It's a cycle...but I would hardly blame it on REALTORS for advising you how to get a house into contract when you were frustrated.


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Realtor wrote on February 11, 2009 08:22 PM: Delray - Do you really think capping the Realtors Compensation to $1000.00 a sale is going to solve the Housing Meltdown? What about the Realtors that only sell 1 house a month (if they are lucky in this market) and have to pay self employment taxes, dues, desk fees, splits, gas, etc...that exceed $1000.00 a month.

I think we should cap your salary to $1000.00/month and see if you can pay your bills. Seriously.

48% increase from January - December, could you list your source. You probably read there was a 48% increase in NOD since most banks held off filing these in December. FYI - Not all NOD will become a REO Property.


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$100,000 question wrote on February 11, 2009 06:11 PM: Sunshine and The Answer both fail to address the negative equity (e.g., $100,000 difference between $300,000 loan and $200,00 home value), which banks are not required to cancel. Also, any borrower who Lied should not get help, and all honest borrowers (including invesors) should get help.


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The Answer wrote on February 11, 2009 05:27 PM: In return for all the bailout money the banks have received, the banks must allow all mortgage holders to refinance at a government set rate (3 – 4%), with absolute minimum fees (the banks made their exorbitant fees on the bogus first financings) and with no equity to loan requirement. The government will guarantee to the bank the banks new equity to loan ratio amount of 20 – 25%. Thus the banks will not assume any additional mortgage risk, and the taxpayers are only on the hook for 20 – 25% of the loan value in the event of a default.

Result: Housing prices will stabilize without bankrupting the government or the taxpayers because of the banks corruption and greed.


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DON'T PAY! wrote on February 11, 2009 04:26 PM: REFUSE to pay all the garbage "FEES". REFUSE to pay the so-called "points".
REFUSE to pay the ridiculous "pre-paid morgage insurance". REFUSE to pay exorbitant "title insurance fees"... title should only have to be updated at minimum cost. ABSOLUTELY REFUSE to pay a realtor over 2% "commission". The list of rip-offs goes on and on.


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Sunshine wrote on February 11, 2009 03:47 PM: Problem: Regardless of the low mortgage rates, most homeowners can't refinance because they do not meet the banks new minimum equity requirement because of falling house prices.

Solution: Waive the minimum equity requirement for homeowners to refinance with a 3 - 4% mortgage rate. The government will only guarantee the minimum equity (20 - 25%) to the bank.

Benefit: Stops foreclosures. Home prices stabilize. Banks will not take on additional risk. The taxpayer is only on the hook for the minimum equity amount for any future foreclosures.

A win - win situation.


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wee wrote on February 11, 2009 02:12 PM: ®“☻╚eÜ+╝§╚{AÄ█


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roger wrote on February 11, 2009 12:06 PM: Prices___lower.. you are absolutely correct, from what I gather that was a widespread tactic used by realtors to drive up their commissions... by creating a false sense of demand and incidently forcing prices upward. I have suggested that regulation be introduced that requires agents to divulge information on offers made on a house to verify in fact other offers have been made. Mad dog is also correct, now that the smoke is clearing the population of potential buyers has been drastically reduced. Only way now to push values back up is via a supply shortage, which aint going to happen here becuase our friendly home builders will start building again at first sight of a comeback.


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cc wrote on February 11, 2009 12:02 PM: If everything recovers.People hopefully will be wiser and not get loans they cant afford. Never mind buying a flat screen tv. Pay down your debts.


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