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HOUSING MARKET: Crunch time for credit

Consumers' borrowing options dwindle as market tightens, officials say



Photo by Ronda Churchill.



Photo by Clint Karlsen.



Photo by Ronda Churchill.

Everyone's looking for the bottom of the real estate market, but you'd need a crystal ball to pinpoint the day a home reaches its lowest price.

Waiting to make the right move that would maximize potential appreciation and home equity has its downside, said Chris Biaggi, president of All Western Mortgage in Las Vegas.

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  • In today's skittish lending environment, worsened by the subprime mortgage crunch, consumers are left with diminishing options for loan packages. What's available today may be gone tomorrow, Biaggi said.

    Someone who qualified for a $500,000 home last week may only qualify for a $400,000 home this week as lenders tighten credit requirements. Sharp increases in foreclosures and nonperforming loans have caused the mortgage industry to become extremely conservative and eliminate the more aggressive loan programs, Biaggi said.

    "In my 20 years in the business, I have never seen the mortgage industry so scared and hyper-reactive," he said. "We seem to be looking for ways to decline loans rather than approve them. We seem to be losing products on a daily basis."

    Carlos Moranchel used a 90 percent loan-to-value stated income loan to get into a larger home in July. He put 10 percent down on a $350,000 home in The Orchards subdivision near Sunrise Mountain and took out a five-year option adjustable-rate mortgage at about 7 percent.

    "That loan's pretty much gone now," Robin Camacho of Direct Access Lending said. "You've got to have strong assets and reserves to get it. Carlos has reserves and he put 10 percent down."

    Moranchel, with his wife and four daughters, dog and parrot, outgrew his previous home in the neighborhood of Christy Lane and Charleston Boulevard. He went from three bedrooms to four and doubled the size to 2,300 square feet.

    The 37-year-old property manager from Los Angeles took a second job as a parking valet to make ends meet.

    "I personally think it's well worth the effort," Moranchel said. "Look at what I have now. A big house, a big yard. It's a sacrifice. In all honesty, anybody who comes to Vegas can accomplish the same thing, but they have to put their heart into it."

    Market conditions favor buyers right now, Biaggi said. Interest rates remain at historical lows and Las Vegas median home prices have dropped about 5 percent from last year to $295,000, the Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors reported.

    The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, was 678.7 for the week ended Aug. 10, an increase of 3.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from the previous week. On an unadjusted basis, the index was up 20.6 percent compared with the same week a year ago. The Refinance Index increased 2.6 percent to 1,929.6 from 1,881.1 the previous week.

    "Recent upheavals in the mortgage industry may be temporarily increasing the level of retail application activity at the large lenders that participate in the MBA survey rather than representing a systemwide increase," Doug Duncan, chief economist and senior vice president for the Mortgage Bankers Association, said in a statement.

    The average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 6.45 percent from 6.41 percent, with points decreasing to 1.54 from 1.62, including origination fee, for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio loans.

    The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 6.19 from 6.16 percent and one-year adjustable-rate mortgages increased to 5.81 from 5.69 percent. In the last three years, 14 million homes were refinanced. About half of those were adjustable-rate or "teaser" rate loans.

    More than 100 lenders nationwide have ceased operations, including Silver State Mortgage in Nevada. Las Vegas-based Meridias Capital has ceased its wholesale lending, or money loaned from a line of credit, and is only acting as a mortgage broker in an effort to weather the storm. First National Bank of Arizona did the same thing.

    "We are in the midst of a liquidity crisis in mortgage banking," said Jason Fox, president of Luxury Mortgage Group in Las Vegas. "Many people don't realize that even with an 850 FICO (credit) score, that certain programs are not available anymore."

    Nonconforming loans in which the borrower uses stated income and stated assets with little or no documentation are going away, Fox said. Loan-to-value maximums have decreased 10 percent within the past three months.

    In the immediate future, 100 percent financing, no down payment loans will be off the table and other exotic programs will be a thing of the past, he said. Second mortgages will be available only to those who can fully document their income and assets.

    Major institutional conduit lenders such as Bear Stearns are saying that the current credit crunch is the worst in 20 years. Investor guidelines are changing almost daily, Fox said.

    "Everybody hears the gloom and doom, but not this part of it, that loan packages they were qualified for in the past are no longer available," All Western Mortgage's Biaggi said. "So to sit and wait as a consumer or potential home buyer may not be in your best interest any longer. That program that could put you in a home might not be here in a month."

    Camacho said some people are contributing to their own undoing by panicking and helping to bring about a self-fulfilling prophecy.

    Product lines come and go in response to a number of factors and many mortgage brokers are finding it difficult to maintain a line of available products, she said. This is often attributable to the mortgage company's strength rather than the borrower's.

    "It isn't as bad as people think," Camacho said. "It is difficult to borrow money unless you have assets right now. With assets and good credit, you will not find it difficult to get a loan. Cash is king today."

    Home buyer Moranchel said Camacho worked with him for six months to find the right house and qualify for his mortgage with Direct Access Lending.

    "It was a lot of persistence on her behalf and patience on my behalf," he said. "The main thing was getting our foot in the door. Once our foot is in the door, we can manipulate the finances."

    Everybody hears about the subprime market because it took the hardest beating, but the A-Paper (prime) and Alt-A (midrange) markets have recently taken an equally hard beating, Biaggi said.

    "Every sector of our lending pool has basically dried up in some area," he said. "If you were at the outer reaches of that particular category of borrower, you're no longer able to buy a home. You're done."

    Biaggi had an applicant approved for a loan with 5 percent down payment and stated income, but investors weren't comfortable with it and offered another program at a higher interest rate.

    "So the conversation between the loan officer and buyer goes something like, 'Your loan is approved, but not at the same terms, and by the way, in six months you may have to put 20 percent down instead of 10 percent to get the same loan,' " Biaggi said.

    Lewis Shaw, principal of Dallas-based commercial developer Jackson-Shaw, said lending on any type of real estate boils down to three C's: credit, collateral and character.

    "Will Rogers once said, 'I don't care about the return on my money, just the return of my money,' " Shaw said.

    "Subprime is like submarine. It's below prime," he said. "It's very elementary. What kind of meat do you get if you ask for subprime meat? Three days old? All of a sudden they say there's a shortage of meat. We can take this subprime meat and sell it to Wendy's or McDonald's, but guess what? They don't buy subprime meat. We can get the money, but we have to pay more for it."

    As an example of how quickly things can change, Countrywide Financial reduced the maximum loan-to-value ratios on all loan programs by 5 percent in what it classifies as "soft markets," which includes Las Vegas and Phoenix, housing analyst Dennis Smith of Home Builders Research said. Any loans processed since Aug. 13 are affected by the change.

    "Just like that, down payment requirements increased by 5 percent," he said. "Just like that, how many more consumers have been taken out of the marketplace? It's amazing they can wield the hammer like that."



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    LocalLender wrote on September 02, 2007 10:41 PM: I have been in the banking busines 30 yrs in Las Vegas. Our bank never got into the subprime and/or AltA Loans. These products were inherently dangerous. I as angry and upset as many posters regaring the lack of integrity shown by many unregulated mortgage brokers(who are under no fiduciary legal requirements to borrowers) and Real Estate agents who did have a duty to represent the best interests of their buyer clients. Congress is posed to take up laws to regulated the independent mortgage broker industry. This is long overdue, with background checks, education and licensing requirements. GLVAR and NAR need to stop mouth platitudes about "Code of Ethics" and enforce these guidelines by booting out of the business shady agents, brokerage firms and prohibiting sweetheart daisey chain "inhouse" mortgage lending and escrow affiliations which are clearly conflicts of interests (Yes, I know they have "discloures", but the regulators know what is really going on behind the scenes, doing everything to keep the deal alive at the expense of the captive buyer!) Finally, buyers need to adjust to the fact that until they have the income and resources needed to purchase a home, they need to wait.


    Dan Strauss wrote on September 02, 2007 09:25 PM: Buy what you can afford. That's a novel idea. While I feel for these people, the ones that did not know what was going to happen to their mortgage. But Home Buying 101 says to READ YOUR MORTGAGE. You read everything in detail when you buy a used car, but you don't read everything when you spend 300,000 on a house!! Come on.


    LVWelkin wrote on September 02, 2007 06:09 PM: Many people gripe about lawyers, but most never us them (so what in the heck gives them the right to gripe about them?). How many people had lawyers that represented them before they signed the property sales contract or had lawyers that represented them (not the settlement company) at settlement? Very few I suspect. Yet, buyers need to sign a dozen or so forms often written in small print using words that most of them did not understand and now they blame everybody but themselves when something goes wrong. Wake up to your own stupidity buyers! I agree that incomes have not kept up with housing costs in many areas of the country, but this does not excuse the unwise lifestyle decisions that people have made. Why do children need to have their own bedrooms today or why does each person need to have their own separate bathroom? It is crazy that a family of 4 (husband, wife, 2 kids) need a 3-4 bath and 4 bedroom house with a two car garage, especially when they could barely afford the mortgage to begin with. What was wrong with 3 bedroom, 1 1/2 bath condo? Buying the house was lifestyle choice, not a choice of necessity. People need to stop trying to live based on what they see on HGTV and start living based on what they can afford. If people are not being paid enough, why aren't they joining union to being about better wages and working conditions? Gripe, gripe and no action. I wonder what happened to the notion of Individual Responsibility, yes, owning to the consequences of your own actions. I guess this idea went out with Ronald Reagan.


    DT wrote on September 02, 2007 05:02 PM: Most of the blog entries I've seen over the last two weeks on this site were hatefully directed towards realtors, greedy buyers, and irresponsible borrowers and lenders in general. Although my intention is not to side with them, blaming and laughing at people does NOTHING to help anything. Worse yet is that you are poking at your friends, neighbors and relatives. We are not talking about a small group of people that are impacting the world's financial, labor markets and beyond.

    As the article mentions, some of the elements above have NOT been published yet. Drastic changes took place this year and particularly in early August that will be highlighted more when the lagging economic indicators hit home next week and throughout September and October. The fact is that this credit crunch has drained the potential buyer pool almost completely out. Don't forget that 35% of new jobs created over the last 5 years were real estate related. We are nearing the slowest real estate season of the year, and all of these things will have a big impact on our economy.

    Laugh all you want at the irresponsible people involved. Some of them were just trying to get by as well, with incomes not rising nearly as fast as home prices. Its a better idea to check yourself, your friends and neighbors, as this ordeal is bound to reach everyone.


    GrimReaper wrote on September 02, 2007 04:48 PM: Those of us who have been around the block and have lived more than a milisecond saw this coming. The rampant price speculation and developer hypsters, slick haired white teeth smiling real estate agents with their fancy suits and hot cars, young "cutie pie" agents just off their strip jobs or modeling agency gigs "taking orders" at mortgage offices and subdivisions and open housings not knowing how to sell anything or caring about their fiduciary resposibilities.Just "get the order." And just like the DotCom Bubble, judgement day has arrived for this housing market for those who saw greed as their watchword and "Fastbuck Freddy" their model for salesmenship. Good riddance!


    HastaLaVista wrote on September 02, 2007 04:29 PM: Horay! Hopray! Slowly we return to what borrowing is all about. Brother, if you aint got the dough, then you cant show! Yes! Thank God now you must have to show "real" income and have some skin in the game to borrow! No more 50, 60 70% income ratios! No more 100 to 125% interest only loans. Who was kidding whom!? The SOB lenders and realtors brought this upon themsleves through greed and avarice! Buyers who were liars and bought inflated over hyped homes now are screaming and sqealing like stuck pigs!oink! oink! Realtors and lenders going broke and returning to what the did before, parking cars, slinging hash or selling tacos, Yes! Yes! yes!


    Decapitator X wrote on September 02, 2007 02:37 PM: Now all you Frito's Bandidos that talked your own people into getting those high risk mortgages,100% finance and the stated income, NINA (no income no assets)and all you Real Estate idiots that artificially ran the prices of houses up and away, can go back to California and sell cars, shoes or make tacos for a living.You came here and ruin it for everybody,Culeros go home.


    alan berk wrote on September 02, 2007 09:10 AM: well the rubber band broke - is anybody really surprised.

    do we need another tract built in the valley!?
    We have plenty of housing stock!

    overbuilt and overpriced-

    the las vegas market was insane and it couldn`t continue-

    flipping houses is not flipping burgers-

    the dust will settle in a year or so and everything will get back to normal


    GOD wrote on September 02, 2007 06:28 AM: Blame goes all around on this. The borrowers for thinking they can purchase too much house. The realtors for knowing the lenders couldn't afford it but wanted their commission. The banks for knowing the same thing, but issuing the credit anyway.

    What happens? -- They all suffer. Boo hoo for being stupid.