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Mar 20, 2010
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Does Las Vegas face a similar fate as down-and-out Detroit?

Professor says Las Vegas economy 'at a crossroad'

UNLV economics professor Mary Riddel remembers growing up in Detroit in the 1960s when it was a bustling and booming city, king of the automobile manufacturing industry.

She went shopping with her family at upscale department stores and everyone seemed to have plenty of money. Household income in Motown easily exceeded the national average.


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"We'd laugh at the Japanese cars," Riddel said Wednesday at the annual Southern Nevada Economic Outlook presented by the Center for Business and Economic Research, where she's been named interim director. "Look how small they are. Who would drive them? They're low quality. They're for poor people."

Then the oil crisis struck America in the 1970s, prices skyrocketed and cars lined up at gasoline stations overnight for limited supplies. Suddenly, Japanese cars didn't look so bad, at least not to people outside of Detroit or Flint, Riddel said.

"Detroit didn't put it together. This will pass. Americans love their big cars," she said.

Instead of investing in automotive technology, Detroit invested in Washington, D.C., lobbying for huge tariffs on Japanese imports.

Detroit is now one of the cities with the worst urban blight in the United States, Riddel said in her tale of three cities. Detroit, Pittsburgh and Las Vegas all have one thing in common: one-horse economies. And the horse is sick, just about dead in Detroit.

Pittsburgh, once the steel capital of the world, had similar beginnings to Detroit.

It was located along a major transport route with the confluence of the Allegheny, Monongahela and Ohio rivers. The area enjoyed abundant natural resources, including large coal deposits, which were used for heating homes and coke in steel plants.

Pittsburgh's economy thrived from the 1920s through World War II when demand for manufactured steel and iron surged.

However, increased competition from steel plants in Japan and China during the 1950s began to erode demand at Pittsburgh's more costly foundries. The economy continued to founder into the 1970s and '80s and unemployment grew.

Unlike Detroit, city leaders in Pittsburgh coordinated economic development plans, investing in the renovation of downtown's "golden triangle." They rebranded the city as an export center for new ideas and technology in steel production. Pittsburgh attracted and retained corporate headquarters for national and global firms such as Alcoa, US Steel, Rockwell International, Westinghouse Electric, PPG Industries and HJ Heinz.

Las Vegas could learn some lessons from those towns, Riddel said. Founded as a railroad stop in the early 20th century, Las Vegas has depended on leisure and hospitality industries since gaming was legalized in 1931. In the 1990s, Las Vegas shifted into a luxury resort destination, an economy that can be fickle to the whims of consumer spending and leisure travelers.

"Let's be careful comparing Las Vegas to Pittsburgh and Detroit because our story hasn't played out yet," she said. "But it's in decline. We have increased competition. We had massive home price increases. There were people smart enough to say, 'I can't afford to buy a home.' I don't know how many people.

"We're at a crossroad. We don't need any more houses. The gaming industry doesn't need any more expansion. What about new industries? What can we take from Detroit? What can we do better and cheaper than other places? What are our resources?"

Investment in physical capital is important, but human capital investment cannot be ignored, she said. Companies prefer to locate in cities with an educated and skilled work force.

"Like physical capital, it is tempting to cut back on universities and public education when the states suffer budget shortfalls," Riddel said. "However, this is exceedingly short-sighted. Long-run returns result from long-run investments, and being penny-wise can be pound-foolish."

Contact reporter Hubble Smith at hsmith@reviewjournal.com or 702-383-0491.

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BLONDEinGV wrote on January 04, 2010 03:36 PM: I was born, raised, and educated in Las Vegas - unfortunately, by professors like Riddel cited in this editorial. Nearly all UNLV College of Business profs are ivory tower. It's rare for those with real-world experience to want to teach, but even those noble (term used loosely) enough are relegated to just one or two sections per semester.

For those of you (ahem "Mark, you are wrong") who think that all of the highly skilled & educated work force is leaving Las Vegas, you're sadly mistaken. Those of us who are truly educated and/or skilled understand that there is a grand opportunity to fill jobs with such requisites. The jobs are here, I assure you, because the money is here. Try researching a little about all of the incredibly wealthy sole proprietors and small biz owners rushing in droves to Vegas from all over California. They LOVE Vegas (who doesn't!). And, since the jobs are here, they get filled. Not by "mixologists" and cocktail waitresses, but by a very well-qualified sector of our labor force. We are making out like bandits - happily!

So, you go ahead and keep your 2-degree winters. It's about 60-degrees today, and I had a margarita in the sun over the weekend! =D


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Greg wrote on December 24, 2009 09:03 AM: Another article says international tourism is up slightly, despite the global recession. Rather than invest billions in the hopes that more CA tourists will come, maybe we should consider investing millions in making NV in general & LV in particular a more attractive international tourist destination? Then move towards trying to make LV the entertainment technology & industry capital of the US -- think "visit Las Vegas -- at the corner of Hollywood & Broadway". Finally, we really need to jump on solar power research & production -- we should be the manufacturing & usage capital of the world for rooftop solar panels -- and defense aviation tech (we have Nellis, Creech & Fallon, along with vast amounts of relatively unused airspace -- why aren't the big aerospace firms setting up shop here?)

We have the potential & opportunity to do better -- the question is, do our elected leaders?


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Gabe wrote on December 24, 2009 05:18 AM: Interesting article, I live in Detroit and the two cities are indeed very similar--blue-collar towns where one industry more or less calls the shots.

Las Vegas seems to be better at reinventing itself though--sure, they made a massive miscalculation by going too far upscale, but who hasn't made some decisions they've grown to regret since the recession?

On the other hand, the article a few weeks ago about a "lower class" of people coming to Vegas could have been written by an auto executive. When your product isn't selling, blame the customer.

And sorry Mark, but you are wrong. If you want to see what happens to communities that don't value education, come to Detroit.


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Mark, you are wrong wrote on December 20, 2009 07:47 PM: I would personally like to thank all of you Las Vegans who are sending your highly educated and skilled individuals our way. To the cold, high tax state of Minnesota.

Oh yes, your population is typically unskilled, which is why the few highly skilled among you are leaving like rats from a sinking ship. The more typical Las Vegan is a down-and-out high school drop out from some place else who was "gonna make it BIG" in Las Vegas. What does a physician discuss with his neighbor who is an uneducated cocktail waitress?

But, I admit. Like paco noted, it is a nice place. TO VISIT FOR NO MORE THAN 3 DAYS.


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paco wrote on December 20, 2009 02:45 AM: Much of this article is intelligent, but the comparisons with Detroit are superficial. People want what Las Vegas offers. They want three day vacations, they need conference centers, they like a little glitz. But they just can't afford it right now. There are still 36m coming this year, taking Las Vegas to 2004 levels. It is taking some cheap room rates to get that many people here.
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With a highway to Phoenix and some mass transit to Los Angeles. Let's not ignore the possibility of building a new interstate and integrated mass transit to Phoenix as well


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Mark Turmell wrote on December 19, 2009 11:05 PM: "Companies prefer to locate in cities with an educated and skilled work force."

Uh huh... this complete lie coming with no citation whatsoever from an employee of UNLV... Right?

That's like IN-N-OUT telling us that eating cheeseburgers cures cancer.

The FACT is that companies will relocate wherever the best economic climate is - without regard for whether or not they have a "educated and skilled work force". is an "educated and skilled work force" why so many companies have relocated their manufacturing operations offshore?

The FACT is also that a truly "educated and skilled work force" will relocate to wherever the good companies and the good jobs are.

I'm sick of this local overbloated and overfunded educational mafia driving this same sad story down our throats. It's time for the truth to come out.


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Oscar wrote on December 19, 2009 06:44 PM: Vegas is not Detroit. Detroit made crap vehicles that were poorly built, got poor gas mileage, and had NO resale value. They never wised-up.Detroit vehicles get close to the same mileage as they did 50 years ago. This is not acceptable. Recalls were a constant. When you buy an American Car or Truck, the Engineering Strategy is to make a vehicle that requires servicing more often then well built Japanese or Korean vehicles where they place reliability, economy and resale above brand names. Dodge/Chrysler never could build a reliable vehicle. Fords have no resale value. People say.."Proud to buy American." But American Quality workmanship and value are gone. Meanwhile, Vegas has something the Public likes. During this recession, only the die-hards are spending money here. But, it will pick up in the spring. It always does. There's a glut of Hotels on the strip now. And the shows are horrible, and way over priced. We need a full blown Disneyland, to attract families. And more REAL Museums. Not that silly ego trip of the Mayor's. Science Museum. History Museum. Space Museum. A full sized indoor Zoo. Put all the Museums within reach of the strip, but not under the same roof, or in a Casino. That's cheesy, and the public knows it.


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mike wrote on December 19, 2009 06:44 PM: By reading the comments below I found out how we got stuck with the adulterous fornicators giboons and ensign in political office.


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Mark wrote on December 19, 2009 06:37 PM: CityCenter will bankrupt MGM (affirmative action supporter-so they deserve it).


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City Centerless wrote on December 19, 2009 06:11 PM: Howard Stolz thinks that City Center is going to be the "revitalization tonic" for Las Vegas and that we need another one. Well Mr. Stolz, where is the money going to come from to build this second Las Vegas wonder? $8 billion plus doesn't just grow on trees, no matter what liberal tax and spenders say.


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