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AUGUST 2008 POLLS
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• Nevada polls • Western states polls
AUGUST 2008 NEVADA POLL 400 likely voters interviewed statewide August 13-15, 2008, by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. The margin for error is plus or minus 5%.
QUESTION: How would you rate the performance of Harry Reid as Nevada's U.S. senator: excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
REST OF STATE |
| EXCELLENT |
12% |
6% |
18% |
23% |
2% |
8% |
15% |
6% |
| GOOD |
34% |
29% |
39% |
56% |
11% |
29% |
34% |
34% |
| FAIR |
15% |
17% |
13% |
11% |
15% |
23% |
17% |
11% |
| POOR |
38% |
47% |
29% |
9% |
71% |
40% |
33% |
48% |
| UNDECIDED |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
- |
1% |
1% |
QUESTION: Do you feel things in Nevada are on the right track or do you feel they are on the wrong track?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
REST OF STATE |
| RIGHT TRACK |
35% |
36% |
34% |
33% |
38% |
35% |
34% |
37% |
| WRONG TRACK |
55% |
56% |
54% |
58% |
52% |
51% |
57% |
51% |
| NOT SURE |
10% |
8% |
12% |
9% |
10% |
14% |
9% |
12% |
QUESTION: Do you feel Governor Jim Gibbon's divorce, and allegations that he was involved with another woman, has or has not affected his ability to govern?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
REST OF STATE |
| HAS |
40% |
39% |
41% |
47% |
33% |
37% |
41% |
38% |
| HAS NOT |
50% |
46% |
54% |
45% |
58% |
48% |
51% |
48% |
| NOT SURE |
10% |
15% |
5% |
8% |
9% |
15% |
8% |
14% |
QUESTION: If John McCain chooses Mitt Romney as his vice presidential running-mate, would you be more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or will it have no real effect on your vote?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
LDS |
NON-LDS |
| MORE LIKELY |
26% |
28% |
24% |
9% |
46% |
23% |
67% |
21% |
| LESS LIKELY |
13% |
9% |
17% |
19% |
5% |
13% |
- |
14% |
| NO EFFECT |
59% |
60% |
58% |
70% |
47% |
62% |
33% |
63% |
| NOT SURE |
2% |
3% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
- |
2% |
AUGUST 2008 WESTERN STATES POLL 400 likely voters interviewed August 13-15, 2008, in each of the following states -- Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah and Wyoming. The margin for error in each state is plus or minus 5%. The margin for error on the overall weighted regional results is plus or minus 2%
NAME RECOGNITION
QUESTION: Do you recognize the name _________? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of _____?
| JOHN MCCAIN |
| |
AZ |
CO |
NV |
NM |
UT |
WY |
REGION |
| FAVORABLE |
50% |
42% |
48% |
46% |
59% |
55% |
48% |
| UNFAVORABLE |
27% |
29% |
25% |
27% |
21% |
19% |
26% |
| NEUTRAL |
22% |
29% |
26% |
27% |
20% |
26% |
26% |
| DON'T RECOGNIZE |
1% |
- |
1% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| BARACK OBAMA |
| |
AZ |
CO |
NV |
NM |
UT |
WY |
REGION |
| FAVORABLE |
37% |
45% |
43% |
40% |
20% |
21% |
37% |
| UNFAVORABLE |
40% |
35% |
37% |
34% |
43% |
47% |
38% |
| NEUTRAL |
22% |
20% |
19% |
25% |
37% |
31% |
24% |
| DON'T RECOGNIZE |
1% |
- |
1% |
1% |
- |
1% |
1% |
QUESTION: If the 2008 presidential election were held today, would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat, or John McCain, the Republican?
| |
AZ |
CO |
NV |
NM |
UT |
WY |
REGION |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEMS |
REPS |
INDS |
NON-HISP |
HISP |
| MCCAIN |
47% |
43% |
46% |
45% |
62% |
62% |
48% |
51% |
45% |
13% |
81% |
41% |
53% |
25% |
| OBAMA |
41% |
46% |
39% |
41% |
23% |
25% |
39% |
35% |
43% |
75% |
8% |
41% |
34% |
64% |
| UNDECIDED |
12% |
11% |
15% |
14% |
15% |
13% |
13% |
14% |
12% |
12% |
11% |
18% |
13% |
11% |
QUESTION: What do you feel is the single most important national issue facing the country today? (LIST NOT READ)
| |
AZ |
CO |
NV |
NM |
UT |
WY |
REGION |
| Economy/Jobs |
38% |
43% |
44% |
37% |
42% |
36% |
39% |
| War in Iraq |
18% |
13% |
12% |
15% |
15% |
17% |
15% |
| Gas Prices/Energy |
11% |
15% |
9% |
16% |
17% |
14% |
14% |
| Terrorism/Natl Security |
12% |
10% |
14% |
14% |
7% |
15% |
11% |
|
| Immigration |
5% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
6% |
4% |
5% |
| Health Care Issues |
4% |
5% |
4% |
2% |
3% |
5% |
4% |
| Social/Moral Issues |
1% |
3% |
3% |
5% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
| Education |
2% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
| Environment |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
| Social Security |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
| Other |
3% |
2% |
4% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
| Not Sure |
4% |
1% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
QUESTIONS Thinking specifically about issues that are currently having a greater impact on life in (STATE) and other western states than in other parts of the country, which one of the following do you feel is the single most important regional issue facing the western states today? (LIST READ, ORDER ROTATED)
| |
AZ |
CO |
NV |
NM |
UT |
WY |
REGION |
| Immigration |
44% |
29% |
28% |
27% |
18% |
11% |
31% |
| Drilling on Public Lands |
16% |
20% |
13% |
23% |
34% |
25% |
21% |
|
| Water Policy/Water Issues |
11% |
15% |
23% |
21% |
11% |
12% |
15% |
|
| Environment/Climate Change |
9% |
13% |
11% |
9% |
8% |
12% |
10% |
| Growth/Sprawl |
5% |
6% |
8% |
5% |
9% |
4% |
6% |
|
| Roads/Infrastructure |
3% |
5% |
3% |
4% |
5% |
5% |
4% |
|
| Mining/Natural Resources |
2% |
4% |
5% |
1% |
3% |
13% |
3% |
|
| Agriculture/Farm Issues |
1% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
5% |
8% |
3% |
|
| Gun Rights/Gun Control |
2% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
5% |
2% |
|
| Other (NOT READ) |
2% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
|
| Not Sure (NOT READ) |
5% |
2% |
3% |
2% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
|
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QUESTION: Which of the two major presidential candidates -- Democrat Barack Obama or Republican John McCain -- do you trust more to handle the following issues?
| The economy |
| |
AZ |
CO |
NV |
NM |
UT |
WY |
REGION |
| MCCAIN |
48% |
42% |
45% |
46% |
62% |
62% |
48% |
| OBAMA |
43% |
44% |
40% |
43% |
28% |
27% |
40% |
| NO DIFFERENCE/DK |
9% |
14% |
15% |
11% |
10% |
11% |
12% |
| National security |
| |
AZ |
CO |
NV |
NM |
UT |
WY |
REGION |
| MCCAIN |
58% |
54% |
59% |
55% |
71% |
74% |
59% |
| OBAMA |
33% |
37% |
32% |
34% |
21% |
21% |
32% |
| NO DIFFERENCE/DK |
9% |
9% |
9% |
11% |
8% |
5% |
9% |
| Immigration |
| |
AZ |
CO |
NV |
NM |
UT |
WY |
REGION |
| MCCAIN |
52% |
46% |
45% |
41% |
61% |
63% |
50% |
| OBAMA |
34% |
41% |
36% |
37% |
20% |
19% |
34% |
| NO DIFFERENCE/DK |
14% |
13% |
19% |
12% |
19% |
18% |
16% |
| Protecting the environment and public lands |
| |
AZ |
CO |
NV |
NM |
UT |
WY |
REGION |
| OBAMA |
49% |
57% |
50% |
54% |
45% |
38% |
51% |
| MCCAIN |
38% |
30% |
33% |
28% |
39% |
43% |
34% |
| NO DIFFERENCE/DK |
13% |
13% |
17% |
18% |
16% |
19% |
15% |
Developing energy resources and reducing dependence on foreign sources |
| |
AZ |
CO |
NV |
NM |
UT |
WY |
REGION |
| MCCAIN |
49% |
44% |
47% |
47% |
57% |
62% |
49% |
| OBAMA |
41% |
47% |
42% |
41% |
26% |
26% |
40% |
| NO DIFFERENCE/DK |
10% |
9% |
11% |
12% |
17% |
12% |
11% |
QUESTION: How would you rate the performance of ______ as Governor: excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?
| |
EXC |
GOOD |
FAIR |
POOR |
UND |
| Janet Napolitano (AZ) |
29% |
37% |
19% |
13% |
2% |
| Bill Ritter (CO) |
17% |
43% |
23% |
12% |
5% |
| Jim Gibbons (NV) |
6% |
17% |
27% |
46% |
4% |
| Bill Richardson (NM) |
18% |
38% |
21% |
22% |
1% |
| Jon Huntsman, Jr. (UT) |
33% |
49% |
12% |
4% |
2% |
| Dave Freudenthal (WY) |
30% |
51% |
15% |
3% |
1% |
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