DECEMBER 2009 POLLS
STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
I am going to read you a list of public officials.
The first (next) name is _____________. Do you recognize that name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?
| |
RECOGNIZE
FAVORABLE |
RECOGNIZE
UNFAVORABLE |
RECOGNIZE
NEUTRAL |
DON'T
RECOGNIZE |
| Harry Reid |
38% |
49% |
13% |
- |
| Sue Lowden |
33% |
13% |
30% |
24% |
| Danny Tarkanian |
32% |
12% |
37% |
19% |
300 REPUBLICAN VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 Republican primary election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)
| Sue Lowden |
25% |
| Danny Tarkanian |
24% |
| Sharron Angle |
13% |
| Bill Parson |
1% |
| Robin Titus |
1% |
| Mike Wiley |
1% |
| John Chachas |
1% |
| Mark Amodei |
1% |
| Chuck Kozak |
- |
| Undecided (NOT READ) |
33% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Harry Reid, the Democrat and Danny Tarkanian, the Republican?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| TARKANIAN |
48% |
51% |
45% |
16% |
86% |
50% |
43% |
52% |
70% |
| REID |
42% |
40% |
44% |
75% |
5% |
37% |
46% |
38% |
24% |
| UNDECIDED |
10% |
9% |
11% |
9% |
9% |
13% |
11% |
10% |
6% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Harry Reid, the Democrat and Sue Lowden, the Republican?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| LOWDEN |
51% |
55% |
47% |
19% |
86% |
53% |
47% |
53% |
68% |
| REID |
41% |
37% |
45% |
74% |
5% |
36% |
44% |
40% |
27% |
| UNDECIDED |
8% |
8% |
8% |
7% |
9% |
11% |
9% |
7% |
5% |
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.
This poll also includes two over-samplings - one of Republican primary voters and one of registered voters in the Third Congressional District. These over-samplings are additional voters added to the statewide survey in order to increase the sample size within the two sub-groups and these respondents were only asked the questions relative to that section of the survey. The margin for error on both groups is plus or minus 6%.
SAMPLE FIGURES:
Men 310 (50%)
Women 315 (50%)
Democrats 267 (43%)
Republicans 233 (37%)
Independents 125 (20%)
REGION
Clark County - 425 interviews
Washoe County - 120 interviews
Rural Nevada - 80 interviews
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