DECEMBER 2009 POLLS
STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
I am going to read you a list of public officials.
The first (next) name is _____________. Do you recognize that name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?
| |
RECOGNIZE
FAVORABLE |
RECOGNIZE
UNFAVORABLE |
RECOGNIZE
NEUTRAL |
DON'T
RECOGNIZE |
| Oscar Goodman |
46% |
13% |
27% |
14% |
| Barack Obama |
44% |
43% |
13% |
- |
| Brian Sandoval |
39% |
6% |
35% |
20% |
| Harry Reid |
38% |
49% |
13% |
- |
| Sue Lowden |
33% |
13% |
30% |
24% |
| Danny Tarkanian |
32% |
12% |
37% |
19% |
| Rory Reid |
23% |
28% |
31% |
18% |
| Jim Gibbons |
19% |
50% |
29% |
2% |
300 REPUBLICAN VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 Republican primary election for Governor were held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)
| Brian Sandoval |
39% |
| Jim Gibbons |
18% |
| Michael Montandon |
6% |
| Undecided (NOT READ) |
37% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Rory Reid, the Democrat and Jim Gibbons, the Republican?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| REID |
48% |
45% |
51% |
83% |
11% |
40% |
54% |
43% |
24% |
| GIBBONS |
34% |
37% |
31% |
7% |
62% |
40% |
28% |
40% |
58% |
| UNDECIDED |
18% |
18% |
18% |
10% |
27% |
20% |
18% |
17% |
18% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Rory Reid, the Democrat and Brian Sandoval, the Republican?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| SANDOVAL |
49% |
52% |
46% |
21% |
83% |
47% |
45% |
50% |
67% |
| REID |
34% |
33% |
35% |
61% |
5% |
30% |
39% |
27% |
20% |
| UNDECIDED |
17% |
15% |
19% |
18% |
12% |
23% |
16% |
23% |
13% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Rory Reid, the Democrat, Jim Gibbons, the Republican, and Oscar Goodman, an Independent?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| GOODMAN |
38% |
39% |
37% |
39% |
35% |
42% |
48% |
20% |
11% |
| REID |
25% |
21% |
29% |
46% |
3% |
22% |
24% |
32% |
24% |
| GIBBONS |
25% |
29% |
21% |
5% |
47% |
21% |
19% |
28% |
50% |
| UNDECIDED |
12% |
11% |
13% |
10% |
15% |
15% |
9% |
20% |
15% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Rory Reid, the Democrat, Brian Sandoval, the Republican, and Oscar Goodman, an Independent?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| GOODMAN |
35% |
37% |
33% |
35% |
35% |
36% |
45% |
17% |
10% |
| SANDOVAL |
32% |
35% |
29% |
12% |
54% |
35% |
23% |
43% |
61% |
| REID |
24% |
22% |
26% |
46% |
2% |
16% |
24% |
27% |
22% |
| UNDECIDED |
9% |
6% |
12% |
7% |
9% |
13% |
8% |
13% |
7% |
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.
This poll also includes two over-samplings - one of Republican primary voters and one of registered voters in the Third Congressional District. These over-samplings are additional voters added to the statewide survey in order to increase the sample size within the two sub-groups and these respondents were only asked the questions relative to that section of the survey. The margin for error on both groups is plus or minus 6%.
SAMPLE FIGURES:
Men 310 (50%)
Women 315 (50%)
Democrats 267 (43%)
Republicans 233 (37%)
Independents 125 (20%)
REGION
Clark County - 425 interviews
Washoe County - 120 interviews
Rural Nevada - 80 interviews
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