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Las Vegas Review-Journal - Opinion Polls

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Sep 5, 2010
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FEBRUARY 2010 POLLS

300 REPUBLICAN VOTERS

QUESTION: If the 2010 Republican primary election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)

Sue Lowden 47%
Danny Tarkanian 29%
Sharron Angle 8%
John Chachas 1%
Bill Parson -
Undecided (NOT READ) 15%


ALL VOTERS

QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Harry Reid, the Democrat and Sue Lowden, the Republican?

  STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND CLARK WASHOE RURAL
LOWDEN 52% 57% 47% 15% 91% 54% 51% 46% 68%
REID 39% 32% 46% 75% 4% 31% 40% 46% 25%
UNDECIDED 9% 11% 7% 10% 5% 15% 9% 8% 10%


QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Harry Reid, the Democrat and Danny Tarkanian, the Republican?

  STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND CLARK WASHOE RURAL
TARKANIAN 51% 56% 46% 17% 91% 52% 49% 45% 69%
REID 40% 35% 45% 73% 3% 37% 43% 43% 24%
UNDECIDED 9% 9% 9% 10% 6% 11% 8% 12% 7%


QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Harry Reid, the Democrat and Sharron Angle, the Republican?

  STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND CLARK WASHOE RURAL
ANGLE 44% 52% 36% 10% 83% 44% 39% 45% 70%
REID 42% 33% 51% 74% 7% 38% 45% 48% 18%
UNDECIDED 14% 15% 13% 16% 10% 18% 16% 7% 12%


QUESTION: If a candidate running under the banner of the Tea Party were to enter Nevada's U.S. Senate race, do you think you would likely vote for Harry Reid, the Democrat, the Republican candidate that wins the primary or the Tea Party candidate?

  STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND CLARK WASHOE RURAL
REID 36% 29% 43% 68% 2% 26% 38% 40% 20%
GOP NOMINEE 32% 40% 24% 10% 64% 22% 32% 26% 46%
TEA PARTY 18% 19% 17% 12% 22% 22% 18% 17% 17%
UNDECIDED 14% 12% 16% 10% 12% 30% 12% 17% 17%

 


HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from February 22 through February 24, 2010. A total of 625 registered Nevada voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

This section of the survey also includes an over-sampling of 300 Republican voters. These over-sampled voters were only asked the questions relative to the Republican primary election and not the other statewide questions dealing with the general election and issues. The margin for error on the GOP primary results is plus or minus 6%.

SAMPLE FIGURES

Men - 312 (50 percent)
Women - 313 (50 percent)
Democrats 270 (43 percent)
Republicans 233 (37 percent)
Independents 122 (20 percent)

REGION
Clark County - 425 interviews
Washoe County - 120 interviews
Rural Nevada - 80 interviews