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January 2008 Nevada Republican Caucus Poll

500 likely Republican primary voters were interviewed by telephone January 14-16, 2008, by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. The margin for error is plus or minus 5%.


STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

QUESTION: I am going to read a list of names. The first (next) name is _____________. Do you recognize that name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?
RECOGNIZE
FAVORABLE
RECOGNIZE
UNFAVORABLE
RECOGNIZE
NEUTRAL
DON'T
RECOGNIZE
Mitt Romney 61% 16% 23% -
John McCain 41% 26% 33% -
Mike Huckabee 39% 38% 23% -
Fred Thompson 38% 18% 40% 4%
Rudy Giuliani 37% 21% 42% -
Ron Paul 25% 41% 34% -


QUESTION: If the 2008 Nevada Republican caucus were held today, which one of the following candidates would get your vote: (ORDER ROTATED)

SEX AGE BORN
AGAIN?
REGION
STATE MEN WOMEN <50 50+ YES NO CLARK WASHOE RURAL
Mitt Romney 34% 30% 38% 41% 29% 23% 41% 38% 29% 31%
John McCain 19% 20% 18% 19% 19% 16% 21% 18% 21% 20%
Mike Huckabee 13% 11% 15% 14% 12% 28% 3% 11% 11% 18%
Fred Thompson 8% 13% 3% 9% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7% 10%
Ron Paul 7% 7% 7% 4% 9% 7% 7% 7% 9% 6%
Rudy Giuliani 6% 4% 8% 3% 8% 4% 7% 7% 8% 3%
Duncan Hunter 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% -
Undecided (NOT READ) 11% 12% 10% 8% 14% 12% 11% 9% 13% 12%

(IF THEY VOTED FOR A CANDIDATE) QUESTION: At this point, would you say you will probably stick with that choice, or are that you still might change your mind?

ALL ROMNEY
VOTERS
MCCAIN
VOTERS
HUCKABEE
VOTERS
STICK W/CHOICE 65% 70% 58% 62%
MIGHT CHANGE MIND 35% 30% 42% 38%


QUESTION: Which ONE of the following qualities are you most looking for in deciding which candidate to support? Someone who: (ORDER ROTATED)

42% shares my values and views on issues
37% has the strength and leadership to keep America safe
7% has the best chance to win in November
6% has the right experience
5% represents a different approach from President Bush
3% Other/Not Sure (NOT READ)


VALUES LEADERSHIP
ROMNEY 38% 32%
MCCAIN 15% 20%
HUCKABEE 17% 9%
THOMPSON 9% 6%
PAUL 6% 7%
GIULIANI 1% 13%
HUNTER 3% 1%
UNDECIDED 11% 12%


QUESTION: Which ONE of the following issues do you feel is MOST important: (ORDER ROTATED)

National Security or Terrorism 23%
The Economy & Jobs 22%
Immigration 21%
Moral & Family Issues 16%
Taxes & Government Spending 11%
Iraq 4%
Other/Not Sure (NOT READ) 3%

TERROR ECONOMY IMMIGRATION TAXES MORAL/FAMILY
ROMNEY 30% 39% 31% 35% 37%
MCCAIN 20% 25% 22% 19% 8%
HUCKABEE 13% 9% 10% 19% 29%
THOMPSON 11% 5% 5% 13% -
PAUL 2% 7% 9% 5% 13%
GIULIANI 13% 5% 9% - -
HUNTER 2% - 3% - -
UNDECIDED 9% 10% 11% 9% 13%


DEMOGRAPHICS

SEX:
Men - 49%
Women - 51%

AGE:
<50 - 41%
50+ - 59%

EVANGELICAL/BORN AGAIN CHRISTIAN?
Yes - 40%
No - 60%

REGION:
Clark County - 52%
Washoe County - 23%
Rural Nevada - 25%