JANUARY 2010 POLLS
STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
I am going to read you a list of public officials.
The first (next) name is _____________. Do you recognize that name?
(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?
| |
RECOGNIZE
FAVORABLE |
RECOGNIZE
UNFAVORABLE |
RECOGNIZE
NEUTRAL |
DON'T
RECOGNIZE |
| Oscar Goodman |
43% |
15% |
28% |
14% |
| Brian Sandoval |
36% |
5% |
41% |
18% |
| Barack Obama |
34% |
46% |
20% |
- |
| Danny Tarkanian |
33% |
16% |
33% |
18% |
| Harry Reid |
33% |
52% |
15% |
- |
| Sue Lowden |
32% |
17% |
31% |
20% |
| Rory Reid |
25% |
35% |
24% |
16% |
| Sharron Angle |
21% |
11% |
26% |
42% |
| Jim Gibbons |
18% |
53% |
27% |
2% |
300 REPUBLICAN VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 Republican primary election for Governor were held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)
| Brian Sandoval |
39% |
| Jim Gibbons |
23% |
| Michael Montandon |
7% |
| Undecided (NOT READ) |
31% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Rory Reid, the Democrat and Jim Gibbons, the Republican?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| REID |
43% |
39% |
47% |
69% |
16% |
37% |
46% |
39% |
31% |
| GIBBONS |
36% |
41% |
31% |
11% |
62% |
41% |
31% |
42% |
54% |
| UNDECIDED |
21% |
20% |
22% |
20% |
22% |
22% |
22% |
19% |
15% |
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Rory Reid, the Democrat and Brian Sandoval, the Republican?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| SANDOVAL |
53% |
55% |
51% |
22% |
87% |
56% |
49% |
57% |
70% |
| REID |
31% |
27% |
35% |
58% |
5% |
23% |
34% |
26% |
25% |
| UNDECIDED |
16% |
18% |
14% |
20% |
8% |
21% |
17% |
17% |
15% |
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Rory Reid, the Democrat, Jim Gibbons, the Republican, and Oscar Goodman, an Independent?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| GOODMAN |
41% |
45% |
37% |
46% |
30% |
50% |
47% |
26% |
19% |
| REID |
24% |
22% |
26% |
43% |
4% |
21% |
24% |
27% |
20% |
| GIBBONS |
21% |
22% |
20% |
5% |
42% |
18% |
14% |
30% |
46% |
| UNDECIDED |
14% |
11% |
17% |
6% |
24% |
11% |
15% |
17% |
15% |
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Rory Reid, the Democrat, Brian Sandoval, the Republican, and Oscar Goodman, an Independent?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| SANDOVAL |
35% |
35% |
35% |
18% |
59% |
29% |
29% |
42% |
56% |
| GOODMAN |
33% |
36% |
30% |
38% |
23% |
41% |
41% |
17% |
17% |
| REID |
20% |
18% |
22% |
36% |
3% |
19% |
19% |
25% |
17% |
| UNDECIDED |
12% |
11% |
13% |
8% |
15% |
11% |
11% |
16% |
10% |
QUESTION: Do you support or oppose the health care reform legislation that appears likely to pass Congress and be signed into law by President Obama?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
| SUPPORT |
35% |
37% |
41% |
67% |
4% |
26% |
| OPPOSE |
54% |
55% |
51% |
18% |
89% |
62% |
| UNDECIDED |
11% |
8% |
8% |
15% |
7% |
12% |
QUESTION: Do you feel health care reform will or will not result in tax increases in order to pay for its estimated cost?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
| WILL |
77% |
81% |
73% |
58% |
92% |
88% |
| WILL NOT |
11% |
9% |
13% |
20% |
3% |
9% |
| NOT SURE |
12% |
10% |
14% |
22% |
5% |
3% |
QUESTION: Do you feel heath care reform will or will not result in the rationing of health care?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
| WILL |
49% |
55% |
43% |
18% |
72% |
71% |
| WILL NOT |
28% |
24% |
32% |
51% |
16% |
18% |
| NOT SURE |
23% |
21% |
25% |
31% |
12% |
11% |
QUESTION: Do you feel heath care reform will or will not result in major cuts to Medicare programs?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
| WILL |
49% |
57% |
41% |
24% |
71% |
59% |
| WILL NOT |
29% |
26% |
32% |
49% |
8% |
24% |
| NOT SURE |
22% |
17% |
27% |
27% |
21% |
17% |
QUESTION: Do you approve of disapprove of Senator Harry Reid's efforts to get a health care reform bill through the U.S. Senate?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
| APPROVE |
33% |
29% |
37% |
66% |
5% |
15% |
| DISAPPROVE |
60% |
65% |
55% |
27% |
90% |
74% |
| NOT SURE |
7% |
6% |
8% |
7% |
5% |
11% |
QUESTION: In order to gain the 60 votes needed for the health care reform bill to pass the Senate, Democrats fashioned a number of compromises and made special concessions. One of these concessions relieved the states of Louisiana and Nebraska of some of the costs required of other state governments. In general, would you say that you: (ORDER ROTATED)
| 16% |
Approve of these concessions because they were necessary to pass health care reform |
| 72% |
Disapprove of these concessions because they are unfair to taxpayers in Nevada and other states |
| 12% |
Not Sure (NOT READ) |
QUESTION: Do you currently have health insurance?
(IF "YES")
QUESTION: If the health care reform plan is passed into law, do you feel your current annual health insurance premium will:
| Increase by a larger than usual amount |
45% |
| Increase by about the usual amount |
13% |
| Stay about the same |
29% |
| Go down in cost |
1% |
| Not Sure (NOT READ) |
12% |
(IF "YES")
QUESTION: If the health care reform plan is passed into law, do you feel the quality of the health care you currently receive will improve, stay about the same, or decline?
| IMPROVE |
6% |
| SAME |
39% |
| DECLINE |
50% |
| NOT SURE |
5% |
QUESTION: The health care reform bill requires all Americans to purchase health insurance or pay a fine. The annual fine for an individual is $750 and for a family it is $2,250. The bill also mandates that insurance companies cannot deny coverage because of a pre-existing medical condition. Under this new system will you likely: (ORDER ROTATED)
• Purchase or maintain your health insurance
• Pay the fine and wait to purchase health insurance until it is needed to cover a major illness
| |
HAVE INSURANCE? |
AGE |
| |
STATE* |
YES** |
NO*** |
18-34 |
35-64 |
65+ |
| PURCHASE/MAINTAIN |
72% |
77% |
44% |
53% |
71% |
94% |
| PAY FINE |
19% |
16% |
44% |
29% |
20% |
6% |
| NOT SURE |
9% |
7% |
12% |
18% |
9% |
- |
Margin of error (for this question):
*Plus or minus 4 percentage points
**Plus or minus 4.5 percentage points
***Plus or minus 10 percentage points
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED
This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from January 5 through January 7, 2009. A total of 625 registered Nevada voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.
This section of the survey also includes an over-sampling of 300 Republican voters. These over-sampled voters were only asked the questions relative to the Republican primary election and not the other statewide questions dealing with the general election and issues. The margin for error on the GOP primary results is plus or minus 6%.
SAMPLE FIGURES:
Men - 307 (49%)
Women - 318 (51%)
Democrats 265 (42%)
Republicans - 231 (37%)
Independents - 129 (21%)
REGION
Clark County - 425 interviews
Washoe County - 120 interviews
Rural Nevada - 80 interviews
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