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MAY 2009 POLLS

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

I am going to read you a list of public officials. The first (next) name is _____________. Do you recognize that name?

(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

  RECOGNIZE
FAVORABLE
RECOGNIZE
UNFAVORABLE
RECOGNIZE
NEUTRAL
DON'T
RECOGNIZE
Barbara Buckley 29% 9% 39% 23%
Jim Gibbons 17% 52% 30% 1%
Joe Heck 12% 7% 32% 49%
Michael Montandon 7% 3% 19% 71%
Rory Reid 14% 25% 25% 36%


QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, would you vote to re-elect incumbent Jim Gibbons, would you consider voting for a challenger, or would you definitely vote to replace Gibbons?

  STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND CLARK WASHOE RURAL
RE-ELECT 11% 15% 7% 4% 17% 14% 9% 16% 15%
CONSIDER 30% 32% 28% 18% 41% 35% 30% 30% 30%
REPLACE 54% 48% 60% 73% 36% 47% 56% 50% 51%
NOT SURE 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 4% 4%


HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from May 12 through May 14, 2009. A total of 625 registered Nevada voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

SAMPLE FIGURES:

Men 307 (49%)
Women 318 (51%)

Democrats 276 (44%)
Republicans 230 (37%)
Independents 119 (19%)

REGION
Clark County -- 425 interviews
Washoe County -- 120 interviews
Rural Nevada -- 80 interviews