MAY 2010 POLLS
500 LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
I am going to read you a list of public officials.
The first (next) name is _____________. Do you recognize that name?
(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?
| |
RECOGNIZE
FAVORABLE |
RECOGNIZE
UNFAVORABLE |
RECOGNIZE
NEUTRAL |
DON'T
RECOGNIZE |
| Sue Lowden |
45% |
22% |
30% |
3% |
| Danny Tarkanian |
44% |
7% |
45% |
4% |
| Sharron Angle |
41% |
13% |
39% |
7% |
500 LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 Republican primary election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for: (ORDER ROTATED)
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| LOWDEN |
30% |
28% |
32% |
37% |
27% |
19% |
| ANGLE |
29% |
33% |
25% |
21% |
39% |
37% |
| TARKANIAN |
23% |
22% |
24% |
24% |
17% |
27% |
| CHRISTENSEN |
3% |
2% |
4% |
5% |
1% |
1% |
| CHACHAS |
2% |
1% |
3% |
3% |
1% |
1% |
| OTHER |
2% |
3% |
1% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
| NONE OF THESE |
3% |
2% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
| UNDECIDED |
8% |
9% |
7% |
5% |
11% |
11% |
500 LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
QUESTION: Which of the following describes your support for _____?
| |
I will definitely
vote for |
I will probably
vote for |
I might change
my mind |
| Lowden Voters |
54% |
32% |
14% |
| Angle Voters |
51% |
41% |
8% |
| Tarkanian Voters |
59% |
28% |
13% |
ALL VOTERS
STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
I am going to read you a list of names.
The first (next) name is _____________. Do you recognize that name?
(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?
| |
RECOGNIZE
FAVORABLE |
RECOGNIZE
UNFAVORABLE |
RECOGNIZE
NEUTRAL |
DON'T
RECOGNIZE |
| Sue Lowden |
41% |
28% |
26% |
5% |
| Harry Reid |
37% |
49% |
14% |
- |
| Danny Tarkanian |
31% |
17% |
44% |
8% |
| Sharron Angle |
29% |
23% |
32% |
16% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between:
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| LOWDEN |
42% |
49% |
35% |
13% |
75% |
39% |
38% |
45% |
60% |
| REID |
39% |
34% |
44% |
69% |
7% |
36% |
42% |
38% |
25% |
| OTHER |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
5% |
3% |
3% |
5% |
| NONE OF THESE |
6% |
5% |
7% |
4% |
7% |
9% |
7% |
4% |
2% |
| UNDECIDED |
10% |
9% |
11% |
11% |
8% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
8% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If this actually becomes the November general election match-up (Lowden-Reid), which of the following describes your support for _____?
| |
I will definitely
vote for |
I will probably
vote for |
I might change
my mind |
| Reid Voters |
68% |
20% |
12% |
| Lowden Voters |
67% |
24% |
9% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between:
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| REID |
42% |
39% |
45% |
71% |
9% |
40% |
48% |
33% |
23% |
| ANGLE |
39% |
43% |
35% |
10% |
73% |
36% |
32% |
47% |
62% |
| OTHER |
5% |
4% |
6% |
3% |
5% |
7% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
| NONE OF THESE |
4% |
5% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
7% |
5% |
3% |
2% |
| UNDECIDED |
10% |
9% |
11% |
13% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
12% |
8% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If this actually becomes the November general election match-up (Reid-Angle), which of the following describes your support for _____?
| |
I will definitely
vote for |
I will probably
vote for |
I might change
my mind |
| Reid Voters |
69% |
23% |
8% |
| Angle Voters |
60% |
38% |
2% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between:
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
WASHOE |
RURAL |
| TARKANIAN |
42% |
45% |
39% |
15% |
74% |
37% |
37% |
46% |
60% |
| REID |
41% |
37% |
45% |
69% |
11% |
37% |
46% |
36% |
24% |
| OTHER |
4% |
3% |
5% |
4% |
5% |
4% |
3% |
5% |
7% |
| NONE OF THESE |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
1% |
6% |
3% |
3% |
1% |
| UNDECIDED |
10% |
12% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
16% |
11% |
10% |
8% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If this actually becomes the November general election match-up (Tarkanian-Reid), which of the following describes your support for _____?
| |
I will definitely
vote for |
I will probably
vote for |
I might change
my mind |
| Reid Voters |
72% |
19% |
9% |
| Tarkanian Voters |
70% |
23% |
7% |
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED
This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from May 24 through May 26, 2010. A total of 625 registered Nevada voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled.
The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.
This poll also includes an over-sampling of 500 likely Republican primary voters. These additional voters were only asked the questions relative to the GOP primary. The margin for error on the Republican primary sample is plus or minus 4.5 percent.
SAMPLE FIGURES
Men - 306 (49 percent)
Women - 319 (51 percent)
Democrats - 268 (43 percent)
Republicans - 236 (38%)
Independents - 121 (19%)
REGION
Clark County - 425 interviews
Washoe County - 120 interviews
Rural Nevada - 80 interviews
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