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NOVEMBER 2008 POLLS

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

Do you recognize the name _________?

(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

  RECOGNIZE
FAVORABLE
RECOGNIZE
UNFAVORABLE
RECOGNIZE
NEUTRAL
DON'T
RECOGNIZE
Barack Obama 47% 38% 15% -
John McCain 46% 35% 19% -
Sarah Palin 44% 38% 17% 1%
Joe Biden 43% 35% 20% 2%


QUESTION: If the 2008 presidential election were held today, would you vote for: (ORDER ROTATED)

• the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama & Joe Biden
• the Republican ticket of John McCain & Sarah Palin
• one of the other party candidates?

  STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND CLARK WASHOE RURAL WHITE BLACK HISP 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
OBAMA 47% 44% 50% 79% 9% 48% 54% 43% 22% 41% 93% 63% 55% 47% 45% 42%
MCCAIN 43% 45% 41% 11% 84% 41% 37% 45% 68% 49% 2% 31% 38% 42% 45% 47%
OTHER 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% - - 2% 2% 2% 2%
UNDECIDED 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 7% 9% 8% 9% 5% 6% 5% 9% 8% 9%

RELATED INFORMATION
PRESIDENTIAL POLITICS: Poll gives Obama edge
Battleground Summary (.pdf)

HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 28 through October 29, 2008. A total of 625 registered Nevada voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

This poll also contains a separate over-sampling of Second and Third Congressional District voters. This over-sampling was only on the questions related to the congressional races. The margin for error on these results is plus or minus 5%.

SAMPLE FIGURES

Men 309 (49%)
Women 316 (51%)
Democrats 281 (45%)
Republicans 239 (38%)
Independents 105 (17%)

REGION
Clark County - 415 interviews
Washoe County - 120 interviews
Rural Nevada - 90 interviews