OCTOBER 2009 POLLS
STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
I am going to read you a list of public officials. The first (next) name is _____________. Do you recognize that name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?
| |
RECOGNIZE
FAVORABLE |
RECOGNIZE
UNFAVORABLE |
RECOGNIZE
NEUTRAL |
DON'T
RECOGNIZE |
| Oscar Goodman |
49% |
9% |
28% |
14% |
| Barack Obama |
46% |
43% |
11% |
- |
| Brian Sandoval |
38% |
7% |
36% |
19% |
| Harry Reid |
38% |
50% |
12% |
- |
| Sue Lowden |
31% |
15% |
29% |
25% |
| Danny Tarkanian |
30% |
11% |
40% |
19% |
| John Ensign |
23% |
43% |
32% |
2% |
| Rory Reid |
21% |
29% |
33% |
17% |
| Jim Gibbons |
14% |
51% |
33% |
2% |
300 REPUBLICAN VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 Republican primary election for Governor were held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)
| Brian Sandoval |
41% |
| Jim Gibbons |
20% |
| Michael Montandon |
4% |
| Undecided (NOT READ) |
35% |
QUESTION: If the 2010 Republican primary election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)
| Sue Lowden |
23% |
| Danny Tarkanian |
21% |
| Sharron Angle |
9% |
| Bill Parson |
1% |
| Robin Titus |
1% |
| Mike Wiley |
1% |
| Chuck Kozak |
- |
| John Chachas |
- |
| Mark Amodei |
- |
| Undecided (NOT READ) |
44% |
QUESTION: If John Ensign were to resign from the U.S. Senate, which one of the following Republicans would you like Governor Jim Gibbons to appoint to fill the vacant seat? (ORDER ROTATED)
| Dean Heller |
24% |
| Brian Sandoval |
17% |
| Danny Tarkanian |
17% |
| Sue Lowden |
14% |
| Jim Gibbons |
4% |
| Someone else (NOT READ) |
3% |
| Not Sure (NOT READ) |
21% |
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Harry Reid, the Democrat and Danny Tarkanian, the Republican?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
NORTH NV |
| TARKANIAN |
48% |
54% |
42% |
15% |
86% |
52% |
45% |
55% |
| H. REID |
43% |
37% |
49% |
77% |
7% |
35% |
44% |
34% |
| UNDECIDED |
11% |
9% |
13% |
8% |
7% |
13% |
11% |
11% |
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Harry Reid, the Democrat and Sue Lowden, the Republican?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
NORTH NV |
| LOWDEN |
49% |
56% |
42% |
18% |
85% |
52% |
45% |
58% |
| H. REID |
39% |
33% |
45% |
70% |
7% |
28% |
44% |
31% |
| UNDECIDED |
12% |
11% |
13% |
12% |
8% |
20% |
11% |
11% |
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Rory Reid, the Democrat and Jim Gibbons, the Republican?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
NORTH NV |
| R. REID |
49% |
42% |
56% |
78% |
24% |
31% |
54% |
38% |
| GIBBONS |
37% |
45% |
29% |
10% |
65% |
45% |
33% |
46% |
| UNDECIDED |
14% |
13% |
15% |
12% |
11% |
24% |
13% |
16% |
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Rory Reid, the Democrat and Brian Sandoval, the Republican?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
NORTH NV |
| SANDOVAL |
50% |
57% |
43% |
18% |
85% |
55% |
45% |
60% |
| R. REID |
33% |
28% |
38% |
62% |
3% |
24% |
38% |
24% |
| UNDECIDED |
17% |
15% |
19% |
20% |
12% |
21% |
17% |
16% |
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Rory Reid, the Democrat, Jim Gibbons, the Republican, and Oscar Goodman, an Independent?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
NORTH NV |
| GOODMAN |
36% |
34% |
38% |
30% |
35% |
52% |
46% |
16% |
| R. REID |
27% |
19% |
35% |
56% |
3% |
8% |
28% |
25% |
| GIBBONS |
24% |
33% |
15% |
4% |
48% |
24% |
18% |
36% |
| UNDECIDED |
13% |
14% |
12% |
10% |
14% |
16% |
8% |
23% |
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Rory Reid, the Democrat, Brian Sandoval, the Republican, and Oscar Goodman, an Independent?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
CLARK |
NORTH NV |
| SANDOVAL |
33% |
40% |
26% |
12% |
57% |
38% |
25% |
49% |
| GOODMAN |
33% |
31% |
35% |
30% |
33% |
41% |
43% |
14% |
| R. REID |
25% |
19% |
31% |
50% |
4% |
7% |
27% |
22% |
| UNDECIDED |
9% |
10% |
8% |
8% |
6% |
14% |
5% |
15% |
QUESTION: If the 2012 election for Nevada's U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote to re-elect incumbent John Ensign, would you consider voting for a challenger, or would you definitely vote to replace Ensign?
| |
STATE |
MEN |
WOMEN |
DEM |
REP |
IND |
| RE-ELECT |
22% |
28% |
16% |
7% |
38% |
28% |
| CONSIDER |
22% |
26% |
18% |
24% |
25% |
13% |
| REPLACE |
44% |
37% |
51% |
60% |
23% |
45% |
| NOT SURE |
12% |
11% |
13% |
9% |
14% |
14% |
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED
This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 6 through October 8, 2009. A total of 500 registered Nevada voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.
This section of the survey also includes an over-sampling of 300 Republican voters. These over-sampled voters were only asked the questions relative to the Republican primary election and not the other statewide questions dealing with the general election and state issues. The margin for error on the GOP primary results is plus or minus 6%.
SAMPLE FIGURES
Men - 242 (48%)
Women - 258 (52%)
Democrats - 220 (44%)
Republicans 181 (36%)
Independents 99 (20%)
REGION
Clark County - 335 interviews
Washoe County - 95 interviews
Rural Nevada - 70 interviews