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OCTOBER 2010 POLLS


STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

I am going to read you a list of names.
The first (next) name is _____________. Do you recognize that name?
(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

  RECOGNIZE
FAVORABLE
RECOGNIZE
UNFAVORABLE
RECOGNIZE
NEUTRAL
DON'T
RECOGNIZE
Brian Sandoval 56% 23% 21% -
Rory Reid 35% 49% 16% -

QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, would you vote for:

  STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND CLARK WASHOE RURAL
Brian Sandoval, Rep 54% 59% 50% 16% 90% 61% 51% 55% 67%
Rory Reid, Dem 38% 34% 42% 74% 5% 29% 41% 36% 28%
One of the other
candidates on the ballot
2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1%
None of these 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 1%
Undecided 4% 3% 4% 5% 2% 5% 3% 5% 3%

QUESTION: Question No. 1 on the November ballot would amend the Nevada Constitution to provide for the appointment of Supreme Court justices and District Court judges by the Governor for their initial terms from lists of candidates nominated by the Commission on Judicial Selection, with subsequent retention of those justices and judges after independent performance evaluations and voter approval.

If you were voting on this amendment today, would you vote:

  STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND
YES in favor of the amendment 37% 32% 42% 49% 27% 34%
NO against the amendment? 46% 52% 40% 34% 56% 51%
Undecided 17% 16% 18% 17% 17% 15%

QUESTION: Question No. 2 on the November ballot would amend the Nevada Constitution to allow for the establishment of an intermediate appellate court that would have jurisdiction over appeals of certain civil and criminal cases arising from the district courts?

If you were voting on this amendment today, would you vote:

  STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND
YES in favor of the amendment 33% 33% 33% 41% 26% 30%
NO against the amendment 44% 55% 33% 29% 57% 53%
Undecided 23% 12% 34% 30% 17% 17%

Related Story: Reid still trailing Sandoval in bid for Nevada Governor
Related Story: STATEWIDE DECISIONS: Question 1
Related Story: STATEWIDE DECISIONS: Question 2


HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 25 through October 27, 2010. A total of 625 registered Nevada voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All indicated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than ±4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

This poll also includes an over-sampling 400 likely voters in the Third Congressional District. This over-sampling is of additional voters added to the statewide survey in order to increase the sample size within the district. These additional respondents were only asked the questions relative to the Third District race. The margin for error on these results is plus or minus 5%.

SAMPLE FIGURES

Men - 305 (49%)
Women 320 (51%)
Democrats 269 (43%)
Republicans 262 (42%)
Independents 94 (15%)

REGION
Clark County - 405 interviews
Washoe County - 125 interviews
Rural Nevada - 95 interviews