Home Subscribe Las Vegas Review-Journal
  Jobs Cars Homes Shopping Travel Weddings Golf Best of Las Vegas Photo   Search:

RECENT EDITIONS
Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue

News


Poll: Reid's popularity falls among Nevadans




Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid's appeal among Nevadans has plunged dramatically in a new Review-Journal poll, which finds him viewed unfavorably by most likely voters in his home state.

Reid is still slightly more well-liked than Gov. Jim Gibbons. Both the Democratic senator and the Republican governor are less favorably viewed than President Bush.

"Fortunately for Reid, he doesn't have to run for re-election for a while," said Brad Coker, managing partner of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., the Washington, D.C.-based firm that conducted the poll. If they decide to run again, Reid's name won't be on the ballot until 2010, nor will Gibbons'.

The poll asked 625 likely voters from around the state whether they recognized a politician's name, and if so, if they had a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of that person. The survey carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.


Most Popular Stories
  • LANDLORD: AS TENANT, FLEISS FOR THE BIRDS
  • NORM: So, that's why it's titled 'Mindfreak'
  • JUDICIAL DISCIPLINE COMMISSION: Panel suspends Halverson
  • 1958 CRASH: DEATH IN DESERT AIR
  • CALICO BASIN: Tranquillity lost
  • NORM: Owner Jay-Z says 40/40 Club is fine
  • NORM: Daughters say Barrier left sign
  • NORM: 'Idol' contestant set to go country
  • NORM: Reid book reveals 'Casino' mystery
  • NORM: Jackson in action possibly in Vegas



  • Reid's favorable rating was 32 percent, compared with 51 percent unfavorable and 15 percent neutral. Gibbons was viewed favorably by 30 percent, Bush by 34 percent.

    The Review-Journal last asked Nevadans their opinion of Reid in early May. At that time, he was seen favorably by 46 percent and unfavorably by 42 percent.

    Even that was seen as alarming for Reid because his favorability did not top 50 percent and because the difference between the two numbers was only 4 percentage points. It continued a slide for Reid that coincides with his taking the Democratic leadership after his re-election in 2004, with 61 percent of the vote.

    The new poll marks the first time the Review-Journal has measured Reid's unfavorable rating higher than his favorable number.

    University of Nevada, Las Vegas political scientist David Damore said Reid's position as top Democrat -- the first Nevadan to lead his party in the Senate -- continues to hurt him, as it makes him a punching bag for Republicans nationally. Especially now that Reid leads the majority party that is at odds with the White House, he is visible as never before.

    "That's what happens to these guys who become the party spokesperson and get all the national attention, particularly someone who's coming from a state that's not as liberal as his party," Damore said.

    Voters' opinion of Reid was starkly partisan. Just 2 percent of Republicans viewed him favorably, 90 percent unfavorably. Among Democrats, the numbers were 62 percent and 16 percent; with independents, they were 31 percent and 44 percent.

    A Reid spokesman said the Nevadan was taking the hit for a more general dissatisfaction.

    "Nevadans, like all Americans, want to bring an end to the war in Iraq, and everyone in Congress is being held accountable for the president's inaction and Republican obstructionism," Jon Summers said.

    "People were excited (after the 2006 election) about the Democrats taking the majority in Congress. I think they thought we would somehow have the ability to end the war as soon as we took the majority. That's unfortunately not how it works," he said.

    Reid absolutely is running again in 2010 but was "not focusing on that right now," Summers said. "He's heavily focused on the war in Iraq."

    Summers also suggested the poll did not accurately reflect views of Reid.

    Reid's staff provided an internal poll conducted for Reid by Democratic pollster Mark Mellman in early August, which was not made public at the time because it was intended as an internal barometer. That poll of 600 voters statewide had 56 percent approving of Reid, 40 percent disapproving.

    Unfortunately for Gibbons, his dismal rating is nothing new. The first-term governor was elected with less than 50 percent of the vote, has been plagued with scandals and has drawn criticism for multiple political miscues.

    Various independent pollsters have put Gibbons' approval or favorability rating at 29 percent in March, 30 percent in April and 28 percent in May.

    A poll commissioned by the Nevada Republican Party in June, just after the legislative session concluded, put him up to 49 percent. But that result now looks like a blip. In August, Gibbons was measured at 33 percent, and the new poll has him at 30 percent.

    Twenty-nine percent of poll respondents viewed Gibbons unfavorably in the new poll, while 38 percent had a neutral opinion. Even among Republicans, only 42 percent viewed Gibbons positively; 45 percent were neutral, and 12 percent had a negative view.

    "That's the status quo for him, and he doesn't seem to be able to do anything to change it," Damore said. Hovering around 30 percent is an abysmal place for a politician to be, especially early in his term, he said.

    Gibbons spokeswoman Melissa Subbotin said she did not think Gibbons' numbers "adequately represent the entire state of Nevada."

    "As we have always stated, we do not govern by polls," she said. "They don't determine how we are going to move forward with our administration. We traveled around every county these past couple of months, and the feedback was exceptionally positive. We had huge attendance at all of our functions."

    Bush's 34 percent was on par with his national approval rating, which currently averages about 32.5 percent, according to Pollster.com. It was slightly down from the last Review-Journal measurement in May, which put the president at 36 percent among Nevadans.

    Other public officials whose favorability was measured by the Review-Journal included the following:

    • Las Vegas Mayor Oscar Goodman: 42 percent favorable, 17 percent unfavorable, 28 percent neutral. Goodman, a Democrat, fared better among Republicans, just 9 percent of whom viewed him negatively. Perhaps distressingly for the publicity-seeking mayor, 13 percent of those polled did not know his name.

    • Sen. John Ensign, R-Nev.: 51 percent favorable, 19 percent unfavorable, 25 percent neutral. The recently re-elected Republican remains popular at home despite taking a partisan leadership position as head of the National Republican Senatorial Committee.

    • Former President Clinton: 51 percent favorable, 37 percent unfavorable, 12 percent neutral. That was the inverse of his wife's numbers: Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton was seen favorably by 38 percent and unfavorably by 51 percent.

    "That's the ironic thing, isn't it?" Damore said. Somehow, the former president is associated in voters' minds with peace and prosperity, while the former first lady is seen as shrill and calculating.

    "He's the best politician of his generation, Mr. Ambassador Feel-Good-at-Large; she's seen as doing everything only for her own political convenience." Fortunately, he noted, Hillary Clinton has Bill Clinton to campaign for her.

    • Right-wing talk show host Rush Limbaugh: 34 percent favorable, 50 percent unfavorable, 15 percent neutral. Limbaugh, who recently has sparred with Reid in a battle played out on both the airwaves and the Senate floor, had strikingly similar numbers to the Democratic senator's.

    "That's how polarizing Harry Reid has become," Coker said. "But Rush is trying to be polarizing. Reid just does it anyway."

    Contact reporter Molly Ball at mball@reviewjournal.com or (702) 387-2919.

    Links powered by inform.com


    Leave Your Comment 54 Reader Comments
    Terms & Conditions
    The following comments are provided by readers and are the sole responsiblity of the authors. The reviewjournal.com does not review comments before publication nor guarantee their accuracy. By publishing a comment here you agree to abide by the comment policy. If you see a comment that violates the policy, please notify the web editor.

    Some comments may not display immediately due to an automatic filter. These comments will be reviewed within 48 hours. Please do not submit a comment more than once.
    Current Word Count:

    OLD THUNDERBIRD SECRETARY wrote on January 10, 2008 09:52 AM: Please consider the pick by the Culinary Worker's Union as being Sen. Obama.

    Sen. Obama has never been a member of the gaming commission of the State of Nevada. In fact, Sen. Obama has been out of the Senate Chambers more than he has been in the Senate Chambers during his time as an United States Senator. His voting records are comparable to Sen. John Kerry's voting record during Sen. Kerry's occupation of an office.

    Sen. Harry Reid has been a member of the State of Nevada's gaming commission, he has not only maintained a status quo for the State of Nevada's businesses during times when other state's have their hands out for the next economic development monies; he has lobbied more money into the State's economic office than any other Senator in the current history of Nevada and has stood toe to toe with President Bush on legislation that is mostly cockamania in tone and need.

    When driving the Las Vegas Strip realize that to advertise the Nevada Culinary Worker's Union as backing Sen. Obama is to back the use of coattails that have never experienced the world behind the fact that those persons who play in the glittering world of sports such as poker are absolutely at the tenure of the pit bosses and the security guards of the casinos and hotels in Las Vegas and Reno and Lake Tahoe.


    bob wong wrote on December 14, 2007 11:40 AM: Senator Reid needs to look at who he represents. He shlould reflect their values, not the tax and spend liberals in Washington! The reason Senator Reid has low approval reasons is his departure from Nevada values!


    Josh wrote on November 22, 2007 10:06 PM: "University of Nevada, Las Vegas political scientist David Damore said Reid's position as top Democrat -- the first Nevadan to lead his party in the Senate -- continues to hurt him, as it makes him a punching bag for Republicans nationally."
    It's not because of his position, but more the things he says and does that hurt him. He doesn't represent me, he doesn't represent the majority of Nevada. I really can't wait to vote him out.


    Ex-Nevadan wrote on October 29, 2007 02:40 PM: I wonder how Harry's little, illegal immigrant "Tommy" voted in this poll?


    Todd wrote on October 27, 2007 08:10 AM: People have know Rush Limbaugh for years. Like him or hate him, he is a known quantity. Reid had for years been relatively annonymous. He isn't any longer. And the Reid people are meeting is definitely scary. I think it is safe to say he will be retiring in 2010, with or without his approval.


    anonymous wrote on October 20, 2007 02:14 PM: "That's how polarizing Harry Reid has become," Coker said. "But Rush is trying to be polarizing. Reid just does it anyway."

    Isnt that paralyzing?


    Michael Ray Thompson wrote on October 18, 2007 06:53 PM: I just wish we could get a better picture of Hillary's poll numbers. I guarantee you if the Democrats nominate her we'll have another Republican president. Thank you, Michael R. Thompson


    Jimmy Kilpatrick wrote on October 16, 2007 12:42 AM: Senator Reid is a first class joker that licks the boots of the Moveon.org crowd.


    VirusInCommentsSections? wrote on October 15, 2007 09:45 PM: No Comment


    Bob wrote on October 15, 2007 09:40 PM: Whether it's paying staff bonus' with contributions or Senate collecting a $1.1 million windfall on a Las Vegas land sale (even though he hadn’t owned the property for three years)or railing against the troops "The war in Iraq “is lost” and a US troop surge is failing to bring peace to the country" ole Harry is sure to bring shame to all you Nevada residents.

    e's just a partisan party hack. . . a Bumbling Embarrassment that you elected!

    Muhahahahahahahaha


    Read All Comments