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Poll says Yucca not key to voters

23 percent say dump a major influence







More Nevadans said a presidential candidate's stance on disposing of nuclear waste at Yucca Mountain would have no impact on their vote than said that it would have a major influence.

In a poll of 400 likely Nevada voters Aug. 13-15, 38 percent indicated that the Yucca Mountain issue would not sway their vote for president, while 23 percent said it would. Another 37 percent said it would have some influence.


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  • The numbers weren't too different when only Clark County residents were asked. Again, 23 percent said Yucca would be a major influence; 41 percent said it would have no influence; and 34 percent said it would have some influence.

    "Obviously it's going to affect different voters in different ways," said Brad Coker, managing partner of the independent firm that conducted the telephone survey for the Review-Journal, Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., based in Washington, D.C. "If you look at who it will have a major impact on, it is primarily Democratic voters."

    Coker's comments came Thursday, the day that Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama's campaign launched its second television ad on the Yucca issue. The new ad takes a jab at his Republican opponent: "If you don't want nuclear waste here, you don't want John McCain here," referring to the White House.

    McCain, who historically has been a strong supporter of the Yucca Mountain Project, has added a recent caveat to his stance, saying in order for the project to go forward it must meet all safety and environmental standards.

    About 36 percent of the Democrat respondents said Yucca Mountain would have a major influence on their choice for president. The statewide results have a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points. The Clark County results have a margin of error of plus or minus 6 percentage points.

    Only 8 percent of the Republican respondents said entombing the nation's highly radioactive waste in Yucca Mountain, 100 miles northwest of Las Vegas, would have a major impact on their vote.

    In a similar poll in June, 45 percent of Nevada respondents said Yucca Mountain would have no influence on their vote for president; 14 percent said it would have a major impact; and 38 percent said the nuclear waste project would have some influence.

    On a related question, one about positions on storing nuclear waste in Yucca Mountain, most Nevadans -- 58 percent -- opposed the government's disposal plans, mirroring the 58 percent in June who said they want to fight the Yucca Mountain Project.

    That's roughly the same result as four years ago when a Mason-Dixon poll for the Review-Journal found that 55 percent of Nevadans want to fight Yucca Mountain, while 38 percent favored making a deal for benefits to let it go forward.

    In this month's regional poll, 51 percent of the respondents from Utah opposed storing nuclear waste in Yucca Mountain, but only 20 percent from Arizona opposed the plan. Fifty-five percent of the Arizona respondents support the Yucca Mountain Project.

    Don Ashley, who has lived in Las Vegas for 71 years, was among the 38 percent of the respondents who said the Yucca Mountain issue wouldn't influence whom he wants in the White House.

    "I don't mind if they open Yucca Mountain up for a dump," Ashley said. "Somebody's got to store it, and the government would pay us lots of money for it. I think it's time for people to realize that we're going to get it sooner or later."

    Carole Manshreck moved to Las Vegas 20 years ago from Chicago. As a respondent in the poll, she said Yucca Mountain would have some influence on whom she votes.

    "I don't want it here," she said about spent nuclear fuel. "It's better off staying right where it is than moving it. Why would you move something that's so toxic?

    "McCain doesn't want it in his backyard," Manshreck said of the Arizona senator.

    Coker said the Yucca Mountain issue might make a difference in whom independent voters choose for president. About 26 percent of them are undecided.

    In the poll, more than two-thirds of the independents -- 69 percent -- indicated Yucca Mountain would influence their decision on the next president. In all, 23 percent of the independents said Yucca Mountain would make a major influence on their vote, and 46 percent said it would have some influence.

    On a related nuclear power issue in Western states, 58 percent of those polled in Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah and Wyoming supported increased uranium mining to expand nuclear power. Two-thirds of Wyoming respondents, 66 percent, supported increased uranium mining. In Nevada, 58 percent, supported it and 29 percent opposed it.

    Contact reporter Keith Rogers at krogers@reviewjournal.com or 702-383-0308.

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    not a math genius but... wrote on August 27, 2008 12:30 PM: "In a poll of 400 likely Nevada voters Aug. 13-15, 38 percent indicated that the Yucca Mountain issue would not sway their vote for president, while 23 percent said it would. Another 37 percent said it would have some influence."

    Hmm... 23% + 37% = 60% of voters for whom the Yucca Mountain issue would influence their vote at least some.

    60% > 38%

    Looks to me that the majority of voters do care about the issue in some way or another.


    Report abuse

    Impeach_Harry_Reid wrote on August 27, 2008 09:04 AM: J: You write well, but your assertions demonstrate that you're smokin' the same stuff Obama is...

    Suitability of the Yucca Mountain Repository is not in question; it was approved in 2002. The NRC will now review the technical and safety merits and and either approve or deny a construction permit for the repository.

    10% of baseload power from renewables by 2012??? What kind of tax hikes will be needed to support that??? And, like he can single handedly get 1 million electric cars on the road???? The industry has to want to change; the president can do nothing to force supply and demand...

    Obama's "Plan" is a (crack) pipe dream... To support his vision he will tax you into the poor house.


    Report abuse

    letsciencedecide wrote on August 27, 2008 07:51 AM: As with most polls this one is misleading. If a person supports Yucca Mountain (yes, we exist), there response is the same as a person that opposes Yucca Mountain. This poll does not gage support or opposition, only whether it is a voter issue.

    Why should we as a nation move forward with disposal? Principly because we have an obligation to future generations to make decisions now. This has been a national issue for 60 years already - isn't it time?


    Report abuse

    BMused wrote on August 27, 2008 07:11 AM: Carole Manshreck, of Las Vegas, is quoted as saying she doesn't want the nuclear waste "here," which she seems to think the proposed repository 90 or 100 miles away is included in her area of concern.
    Manshrek wants the waste to stay where it is-- even though Congress determined in 1982 that was unsatisfactory. She asks, "Why would you move something that is so toxic?"
    Actually, such material is moved safely in government-approved heavily shielded metal containers under regulated conditions.


    Report abuse

    Jeff Eerkens wrote on August 26, 2008 05:48 PM: Green nuclear power is the only practical solution to simultaneously (1) ameliorate global warming, (2) avoid dependence on foreign oil/gas, and (3) overcome oil/gas depletion. Only two prime energy sources, coal and uranium, can affordably deliver terawatts of "mother" electricity for: (a) heavy industry, i.e. manufacture of automobiles, ships, airplanes, bridges, etc; (b) power for vast fleets of future electric plug-in autos; and (c) production of portable synfuels (hydrogen and ammonia) and bio-fuels to replace oil. However coal worsens global warming and should be preserved as raw material to make plastics and other organics when oil/gas is gone. This leaves uranium as the only green "mother" energy source, an "inconvenient truth". Solar and wind energy are useful for small-quantity power generation in select locations. Contrary to anti-nuclear propaganda however, at multi-giga-watt levels, solar and wind are three times more expensive than nuclear. Costly energy storage systems are needed and millions of acres, requiring enormous maintenance operations that ruin scenic landscapes and local eco-systems. Without greatly expanded nuclear power and the Yucca repository, the USA will be impoverished and Las Vegas will become a ghost-town when oil-fields run on empty by 2040/2050. Uranium and thorium resources are sufficient to provide all needed prime energy globally for over 3000 years. Fission products from reactors amount to only one aspirin tablet per person per year. Future reprocessing and advanced reactors will consume all un-burnt uranium and plutonium from current fuel elements. It reduces the ten-year accumulated fission waste of 100 US reactors from 50,000 tons to 500 tons. This waste is no more toxic than many common chemicals used in industry, and its emission of betas and gammas is easily shielded. Yucca can handle US nuclear waste storage for centuries instead of only decades as falsely asserted by anti-nuclears.


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    patrick wrote on August 26, 2008 04:17 PM: "Poll says Yucca not key to voters"

    Wow! Guess the Conservative Weekly doesn't cotton much to accuracy in reporting huh?

    What the poll found is that 57% of the people said that Yucca Mountain would have either a major or at least some some impact on how they voted.

    Guess since its pet candidate has voted every time to stick it to Nevada, (of which I thought the RJ was a part of) it wants whatever readers are left to believe that this is not really much of an issue.


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    wagonburner wrote on August 26, 2008 03:04 PM: Okay, now lets survey the rightful owners of the land that Yucca Mountain is located within. This mountain has been and is still considered a sacred site for the Western Shoshone Nation. If you need the facts, read the Treaty of Ruby Valley of 1863. I am curious to see what the numbers would be in a poll to the rightful owners.


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    Susanne E. Vandenbosch wrote on August 26, 2008 02:49 PM: Don Ashley is mistaken, unless the law is changed, in expecting Nevada to get money for storing nuclear waste at Yucca Mountain. In order to get money, a state must forego challenges. So much for the right to protest. There will be some money to reimburse impacts.


    Report abuse

    Yucca is Now wrote on August 26, 2008 01:06 PM: ] There is no basis to say "Yucca Mountain is not a suitable site for nuclear waste storage."

    It appears that you are clinging to superhero Barack Obama to save you from Yucca Mountain. But in his own words double-side “Obama is more of a realist, choosing to rely on science to make a decision.”

    The YMP License Application was submitted June of 2008. Opponents, if they permit an adjudication their positions on technical facts of the program, have should have nothing to fear from a quality review process.

    The LA process continues to establish the suitability of the Yucca Mountain site, and is based on the science of the five supporting national labs and the USGS. Is Obama really smarter than the five national labs, the USGS, and the NRC to make a decision to stop the project?

    The point was made in the R-J on 1-17-2008, that Bill Clinton and Bill Richardson held 21 formal draft EIS hearings (9 in Nevada) in 1999 and 2000, to establish that danger from transportation of nuclear waste is less then such hazardous materials as chorine and propane. This has been a long closed issue, but still raised by Nevada even though they will not do anything about chlorine tankers running by the Vegas Strip. Bill Richardson was engaged in preparing a positive the Site Recommendation right before he left office.


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    douglas wrote on August 26, 2008 01:03 PM: virtually all of the poster's osama obama's "plan" have been continually, vigorously opposed by the reid/pelosi coven.

    similarly, for decades this osama obama has opposed our military. now that elections are coming, he's decided to visit the troops.

    what a flake.


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