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Obama leading in Nevada

New poll: McCain faces uphill battle

A new independent statewide poll finds Democrat Barack Obama leading Republican John McCain in Nevada.

Among likely Nevada voters, 51 percent would vote for Obama and 47 percent for McCain if the election were held today, according to the poll, conducted by Opinion Research Corp. for CNN and Time.


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  • Among all registered voters, Obama's advantage was even larger: He led McCain by 54 percent to 43 percent.

    The poll, conducted Sunday through Tuesday, carries a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points for registered voters, 4 points for likely voters.

    Nevada was one of five battleground states surveyed by the national news organizations; Obama also led in the other four states, Florida, Minnesota, Missouri and Virginia.

    A previous Nevada poll by the same group a month ago also gave the edge to Obama. The Aug. 24-26 poll of registered voters had Obama up 49 percent to 44 percent for McCain.

    Other polls have found mixed results in this battleground state but have tended to favor McCain slightly. According to Pollster.com, a Web site that tracks and aggregates political poll results, McCain is averaging 48.1 percent in Nevada polling while Obama's average is 46.3 percent.

    National polling has registered an uptick in support for Obama in the last week as the economy has foundered in chaos and the two candidates have faced off in their first debate.

    Nevada appears to be following that trend, said national political expert Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia.

    "The national polls have moved in Obama's direction since the beginning of the financial crisis," he said. "Americans are frightened and upset, so they naturally move to the party out of power in the White House. The state polls are following the national polls."

    In addition, he noted that while professional commentators generally scored the presidential debate a tie, surveys of voters found them more impressed by Obama's performance in it.

    "The debate helped Obama," Sabato said. "Every survey has shown it, despite what the pundits said."

    Both parties are mounting aggressive campaigns in Nevada, which has voted for the winner of every presidential election except one since 1912.

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    Report abuse

    cathleen wrote on October 03, 2008 01:49 AM: Perhaps the newer people are state delegates who were badly treated and disrespected by Sue Lowden when she illegally suspended the convention on us in April? She unknowingly shot herself in the foot.


    Report abuse

    SamT wrote on October 02, 2008 07:40 PM: You true believers can wake up now.

    Obama isn't pulling any troops out of Iraq, Afghanistan or any other place we occupy. He has made that clear.

    How many times did he plainly state, during the recent debate,that he agreed with "John?" on foreign policy? Answer: every time.

    I am listening to Biden say--now--precisely the same thing as Obama. Both sound like McCain and Palin. No difference!

    Incidentally, both parties cannot sing enough praise for Israel. Both Obama/McCain, and their running mates, are so shrill in their unequivocal support for Israel, and Israeli regional ambitions, the passive observer would think they were running for Prime Minister.

    Neither candidate represents change or choice. Unless, you want a black versus white President.


    Report abuse

    Mauna Loser wrote on October 02, 2008 05:09 PM: Hey Mauna Loser,

    Go back to 2nd grade. I think that's when the difference between "our" and "are" is taught.

    You are an idiot.


    Report abuse

    ladylucklv wrote on October 02, 2008 04:23 PM: Polls don't mean anything. The only thing that matters is who is ahead on election day.


    Report abuse

    McCain/Palin 2008 wrote on October 02, 2008 04:15 PM: This is typical of the liberal media trying to brainwash us into an assumptive close. Most of the people I know are voting for McCain/Palin. The liberal politicians here in town are feverishing trying to woo the people who have too much money to care about taxes and the black vote because Nevada is what they call the "tightest" state in the country right now. We're 50/50 split on McCain/Obama. FOX NEWS CONFIRMED THIS LAST NIGHT. EVERY VOTE IS GOING TO COUNT. VOTE EARLY BY ABSENTEE BALLOT. VOTE NOW. Print the forms out here: https://secure.johnmccain.com/ActionCenter/ABEV/


    Report abuse

    Mauna loa wrote on October 02, 2008 03:50 PM: Memo to Nancy K: Por Favor, schedule yourself a lobotomy you obviously have a mental disorder. Your two year community little league organizer (acorn loving,aclu fool, no border pseudo intellectual) has about as much of a chance of winning as a warm taco at a Quinceanera party. Also go back, & try to finish the 9th grade, I think thats where they start to explain how are Government works.


    Report abuse

    Nancy K wrote on October 02, 2008 12:50 PM: Hee Hee Hee - Obviously your right wing nut job candidate doesn't agree with your assessment of polls as he is pulling out of Michigan! Drip drip drip - President Obama in a 50 state romp! Clear mandate and a chance to have the country we love back. Liberty and justice FOR ALL. I'm counting the days.


    Report abuse

    Oh Please! wrote on October 02, 2008 11:54 AM: We won't need Paxil in about 33 days...


    Report abuse

    Herb wrote on October 02, 2008 10:34 AM: LL, what you saw on BET encouraging convicted felons to vote has sent chills up my spine. One of the biggest reasons I dread Obama winning is that it will be a great victory for criminals. My fear is that dangerous criminals will be set free so they can murder, rape, rob, and assault innocent victims.

    On a related note, I believe there is a 100% chance the death penalty will be outlawed in a Obama administration. He will stack the Supreme Court with criminal loving judges who consider the death penalty cruel, unusual, and barbaric. In reality it's the killers on death row who are barbaric and they need to die. When an evil killer was put to death a couple of months ago his final statement was "Vote Obama"...that says it all.


    Report abuse

    Mauna loa wrote on October 02, 2008 09:49 AM: Memo to Tim Walker: Por favor, please take your paxil. Thats A. B. Your boy, the little league organizer is not qualified to run a lawn care service.
    **** Also to THe "RJ", (while do you erasing my posts).


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