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SHIFTING WINDS: Democrats gain young registrants

Party scores big lead with voters between 18 and 34




CARSON CITY -- If the future belongs to the young, then Nevada's political future could be dominated by the Democratic Party.

At least, that is what a report from the secretary of state's office indicates.


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  • For the first time, the secretary of state this week released statistics that show the numbers of registered voters broken down by age groups.

    Democrats hold a registration advantage in every age group, including senior citizens. But they have the biggest lead among younger voters.

    The younger the voters, the more likely they are Democrats.

    In the 18 to 24 age group, for example, Democrats have 54,192 registered voters compared with 31,405 Republicans, or 45 percent of the total registered voters for Democrats versus 26 percent for Republicans. That's a 19 percentage point difference.

    Among voters ages 25 to 34 in Nevada, 75,877 are registered Democrats compared with 52,138 Republicans, a 13 percentage point difference.

    In the other age groups, the Democrats' lead ranges from 3 to 5 percentage points.

    Overall in Nevada, Democrats hold an 80,666-voter registration advantage. Just two years ago, Republicans led Democrats in registration by 6,998 voters.

    But the surge to register Democratic does not mean people will turn out in huge numbers to vote for Democrats in November, said Fred Lokken, a registered Republican who teaches political science at Truckee Meadows Community College in Reno.

    Lokken said that traditionally a lower percentage of younger people vote in elections than older age groups.

    He said he expects much of the Democratic boom is due to the enthusiasm generated by Democrat Barack Obama's presidential campaign.

    "They may be motivated by the national presidential race and that would help Democrats in close state races," he added. "It may help Jill Derby in her race with (Rep.) Dean Heller (2nd Congressional District)."

    He credits the Obama campaign and state Democrats for doing a great job in registering voters and wonders what happened with the registration efforts of the Republican Party in Nevada, led by former state Sen. Sue Lowden.

    Zach Moyle, state Republican executive director, said he is disappointed that his party has fallen behind the Democrats in registered voters. He said the GOP has been more selective in its registration efforts, trying to register people who will show up at the polls.

    "Younger voters traditionally don't turn out," he said. "In the end it is about whether they turn out. Their biggest lead is among voters 18 to 24. Something happens when these kids turn 25. They become Republicans."

    Moyle said he remains confident that Republican presidential nominee John McCain will win Nevada in November, noting all polls show a close race.

    But if it is not a traditional year in which a much higher percentage of Republicans turn out than Democrats, Lokken said November could be a "realigning election" in Nevada.

    The age report shows that the generational differences already have made a difference in some counties. Two years ago, Washoe County was predominantly Republican with the GOP holding a 17,000 registered voter advantage. That lead has sunk to 1,894 voters (88,828 Republicans versus 86,934 Democrats).

    But among voters 18 to 24 in Washoe County, 10,192 now are Democrats compared with 6,588 Republicans.

    Carson City remains a Republican stronghold, with Republicans holding a 10,824 to 8,819 registered voter advantage.

    But in the 18-24 age group, Democrats lead 707 to 686 in the capital city.

    As a professor, Lokken said he has watched time and again as his students become excited about a candidate and then suddenly are disenchanted with politics when their choice loses.

    "If Barack Obama doesn't win, they are going to be disillusioned," Lokken said. "I have seen it over and over. 'None of the people I wanted won. Why vote?' "

    Contact Capital Bureau Chief Ed Vogel at evogel@reviewjournal.com or 775-687-3901.

    REGISTER TO VOTE

    Today is the last day to register for the November election at locations other than the Clark County elections offices.

    The county is offering voter registration drives at four area malls from 10 a.m. to 9 p.m. today.

    Voter applications will be taken at: the Las Vegas Outlet Center, 7400 Las Vegas Blvd. South; the Boulevard Mall, 3528 S. Maryland Parkway; the Galleria at Sunset mall, 1300 W. Sunset Road, Henderson; and the Meadows mall, 4300 Meadows Lane.

    Also today, the two elections offices will be open from 8 a.m. to 9 p.m. On Sunday, they will be open from 8 a.m. to 5 p.m.

    One office is at the Clark County Government Center, 500 S. Grand Central Parkway. The other is at 965 Trade Drive, Suite A, North Las Vegas.

    The offices will have extended hours through Oct. 14. Those are: 8 a.m. to 5 p.m., Oct. 6-9. And 8 a.m. to 9 p.m., Oct. 10-14.

    People who want to check to see whether they are registered to vote can do so on the Election Department's Web site at www.accessclarkcounty.com/elections or call 455-VOTE.
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    Report abuse

    Obama wrote on October 04, 2008 10:00 PM: Better a poor and wise youth

    Than an old and foolish king who will be admonished no more.


    Report abuse

    mike wrote on October 04, 2008 09:59 PM: Your religous quotes is so fake. God will strike your stupidity.

    I am sure I will get some quotes.


    Report abuse

    mike wrote on October 04, 2008 09:57 PM: You know why Todd Palin never carries the baby, because that child belong to father that Sarah cheated with.

    Ask yourself why, almost every video with Todd in background he never carries the baby. The baby is always with the daughter.


    Report abuse

    Palin's Fundamentalist Incest wrote on October 04, 2008 09:25 PM: Where are Palin's pregnancy photos?

    Did she even carry the child?


    Report abuse

    2zero wrote on October 04, 2008 08:55 PM: 2 wars, 2 towers, $10 trillion in debt, tuition has increased 100% in the last eight years, bailouts for the old fat cats.....no jobs, no health care no chance for the next generation; unless you vote for change!

    Eight years of pollution, corruption, & constitutional degradation.

    Internet and e-mail spied on by big brother....

    "chocolate messiah" = racist! (loser)

    ROCK the VOTE


    Report abuse

    mike wrote on October 04, 2008 08:55 PM: The NATIONAL ENQUIRER names GOP VP Candidate Sarah Palin's secret lover!

    No less than three members of the man’s family including one by sworn affidavit have claimed that Sarah Palin engaged in an extramarital affair with hus­band Todd’s former business partner, Brad Hanson.

    These sources have named Hanson as Palin’s secret love, and say their affair nearly wrecked both their marriages.

    Hanson owned a snowmobile dealership with Palin’s husband Todd, who immediately dissolved the partnership after he heard stories about the affair, which occurred around 1996, according to the sources. At the time, Palin was mayor of Wasilla.

    Palin has vehemently de­nied cheating on her hus­band, and Hanson insisted to The NATIONAL ENQUIRER that he was never romantically in­volved with the 44-year-old Republican vice presiden­tial candidate


    Report abuse

    Jen wrote on October 04, 2008 08:46 PM: Well, okey dokey - jim bob - let's all believe commercials again!!

    You all are a bunch of racist pigs, who cannot or will not do any research except believe ridiculous commericials. Thank god I'm not associated with you obviously uneducated idiots who are afraid of a black man taking office.

    Todd, please go read the article in the NY times for yourself, the very same one Palin was quoting in her speech. I guess it's easier for her to completely misquote someone than to speak of any issues. But, that's their only defense these days, they have nothing of substance to say.



    Report abuse

    It is easy to be a Democrat, when your 20 years old wrote on October 04, 2008 08:36 PM: LINDA, sweetieheart, I actually had many spelling errors in my post. How kind of you to miss the point of my post, but, air your assumption about me.

    I see many things in this election that disturb me. Lack of ethics, manipulating votes by registering ineligible voters and condesending, mean-spirited posters like you.

    If your silly post is an example of your fundamental politics and people skills, even the Democrats, might take offense.

    P.S. LINDA, I'm confident you own your home, have a college education, retirement, invest in the stock market, belong to a community service organization, have money deducted from your paycheck, monthly, which supports a children's activity (boy scouts? YMCA? children's sports? Etc.) These are a few of the issues I would prefer influence your opinion and vote...rather than, belittling people you don't know, one whit about.


    Report abuse

    Todd wrote on October 04, 2008 08:16 PM: During the next 30 days watch for a whole lot more information on who Obama is to be made public. Sarah is already calling this dog out. Obama is a very very bad man with dark connections that run real deep. Remember 6 years ago he was broke. He has held nothing but government jobs. Today he is a millionaire.


    Report abuse

    Obama is Dangerous! wrote on October 04, 2008 06:34 PM: Ecclesiastes 4:13

    ROCK the VOTE for

    JOHN MCCAIN AND SARH PALIN!!!

    not the chocolate messiah...


    Read All Comments