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300,000 in state cast early ballots so far

Poll shows Obama has slim lead over McCain

With the election still a week away, nearly a quarter of the Nevada electorate has already cast ballots, according to the secretary of state.

Through the end of voting Sunday, about 300,000 people had voted early statewide, a turnout of 24.9 percent of the state's 1.2 million active voters. In Clark County, 211,000 had voted early, a turnout of 25.9 percent.


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  • In Clark and Washoe counties, Democrats have been voting at higher rates than Republicans since early voting began Oct. 18. However, Republicans have narrowed the margin somewhat.

    On the first day of early voting, 62 percent of Clark County voters were Democrats, while 23 percent were Republicans and the rest nonpartisans or members of minor parties. Through Sunday, 55 percent of early voters were Democrats, 29 percent Republicans.

    Of all registered voters in Clark County, 47 percent are Democrats and 32 percent are Republicans.

    In Washoe County, 51 percent of the early voters through Sunday were Democrats, while 33 percent were Republicans.

    Exit polling of early voters conducted by a local political consultant suggests a close presidential contest in the Silver State: Democratic nominee Barack Obama had the votes of 50 percent who had voted, while Republican nominee John McCain had 48 percent of the early vote.

    The poll, conducted by Las Vegas-based consultant Steve Nathan's firm Dialing Nationwide Automatically, or DNA, was conducted by automatically dialing everyone who had voted through Friday, based on statewide voter records, and weighting responses to reflect the composition of the electorate so far.

    Nathan said the statewide numbers were based on 7,147 responses to the survey. He said McCain was getting much of his support from rural and Northern Nevada.

    Experts caution that it is important to take such data with a grain of salt because it reflects only who has voted, not who intends to vote.

    "There's no way to know what the turnout will be on Election Day," said Larry Sabato, director of the Institute for Politics at the University of Virginia. "Every vote counts the same. One that's cast at one minute to 7 on Nov. 4 carries exactly the same weight as one that was cast by absentee ballot a month ago."

    Exit polling data, he said, provides valuable information about who has voted and how, but it should not be used to forecast how the election will turn out.

    Sabato, whose "Crystal Ball" tracks his election predictions, foresees Nevada going narrowly for Obama. He also predicts that Rep. Jon Porter, an incumbent Republican, will not survive his challenge from state Sen. Dina Titus, D-Las Vegas.

    The DNA exit poll surveyed that race, the 3rd Congressional District, and found Titus leading in the early voting. She had 51 percent of the vote while Porter had 46 percent through Friday, based on 3,095 responses.

    Nathan, who earlier this year ran unsuccessfully in a Democratic state Senate primary, said his firm conducted early-vote exit polling for several local races in 2006 with "extremely accurate" results.

    Early voting continues through Friday. Hours and locations vary. Registered voters should check the sample ballot they received in the mail for details, or check online at www.accessclarkcounty.com/depts/election.

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    Report abuse

    Jew Bashing: Obama's Pastor supports Palestinians wrote on October 28, 2008 05:00 PM:
    http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/Story?id=4443788


    Report abuse

    Bill O'Reilly CALLS THE LA TIMES ABOUT RELEASING TAPE wrote on October 28, 2008 04:34 PM: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IqT_6jrg8wE&feature=related


    Report abuse

    Google This! Better than a SEX TAPE wrote on October 28, 2008 04:33 PM: L.A. Times SUPPRESSES OBAMA'S KHALIDI JEW BASHING VIDEO

    THIS WILL BRING DOWN THE ELECTION. I HOPE THEY FIND THIS TAPE.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IqT_6jrg8wE&feature=related


    Report abuse

    Dear State Worker: Its True! Believe it! wrote on October 28, 2008 04:30 PM: Google it. Just happened today.


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    State Worker wrote on October 28, 2008 04:13 PM: McCain CAMPS DEMANDS
    And where in Florida did you say this swamp land can be purchased? Geez, get real, everyone is lying right now to further their candidate. Vote from the heart and use your brains.


    Report abuse

    McCain CAMPS DEMANDS L.A. Times RELEASE VIDEO wrote on October 28, 2008 03:36 PM: John McCain's campaign is demanding that the Los Angeles Times release a video of a party for a prominent Palestinian activist that Barack Obama attended in 2003.

    The Times described the going-away party for former University of Chicago professor, and Obama friend, Rashid Khalidi, in a story in April. The story reported that Palestinians thought they might have a friend in Obama because of his friendships in that community, despite the fact that his positions have never been particularly pro-Palestinian.

    "A major news organization is intentionally suppressing information that could provide a clearer link between Barack Obama and Rashid Khalidi," said McCain spokesman Michael Goldfarb, citing Obama's friendship with Khalidi, who is now a professor at Columbia University.

    He said the video could, among other things, show how Obama responded to a poem recited at the party accusing Israel of "terrorism" and warning of consequences for U.S. support for Israel, which Goldfarb described as "hate speech."


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    FIDEL CASTRO ENDORSES OBAMA wrote on October 28, 2008 03:32 PM: Fidel Castro has also jumped on the Obama bandwagon, saying Obama "without doubt is, from the social and human point, the most advanced candidate" running for the U.S. presidency, Reuters reported in May.


    Report abuse

    LEADER OF THE NATION OF ISLAM ENDORSES OBAMA wrote on October 28, 2008 03:31 PM: Obama has even garnered the praises of Louis Farrakhan, leader of the Nation of Islam. "You are the instruments that God is going to use to bring about universal change, and that is why Barack has captured the youth. And he has involved young people in a political process that they didn't care anything about. That's a sign. When the Messiah speaks, the youth will hear, and the Messiah is absolutely speaking," Farrakhan said.


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    IRAN AND MOLLY BALL ENDORSE BARACK-XIST OBAMA wrote on October 28, 2008 03:29 PM: Iranian parliament speaker said on Oct. 22 that Iran would prefer an Obama presidency. "We are leaning more in favor of Barack Obama," Ali Larijani told Agence France-Presse.


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    BETTER THAN A SEX TAPE wrote on October 28, 2008 03:26 PM: The Los Angeles Times is refusing to release a videotape that it says shows Barack Obama praising a Chicago professor who was an alleged mouthpiece for the Palestine Liberation Organization while it was a designated terrorist group in the 1970s and '80s.

    A number of Web sites have accused the Times of purposely suppressing the tape of the event -- which former Weather Underground terrorists Bill Ayers and Bernardine Dohrn reportedly attended.


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