Quantcast
Home manage Las Vegas Review-Journal
  Jobs Cars Homes Shopping Travel Weddings Golf Best of Las Vegas Photo   Search:

RECENT EDITIONS
Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun

sponsored by
News


Poll: Reid's re-election numbers don't add up










CARSON CITY -- Nearly half of Nevadans have had enough of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid as the powerful Democrat heads into his re-election campaign, a new Las Vegas Review-Journal poll finds.

About a third of the state's voters would re-elect Reid if the 2010 election were held today, according to the poll, but 45 percent say they would definitely vote to replace him. Seventeen percent would consider another candidate.


Most Popular Stories
  • TRAFFIC STOP: Shooting accounts conflict
  • Man shot by police identified as local attorney
  • NORM: At time, drug use wasn't suspected
  • One motorcyclist killed, another critically injured in accident
  • Nurseries fence out day laborers
  • NORM: Marie Osmond, manager battling
  • Second person dies after being restrained by police
  • Boy struck, killed by car pulling out of driveway
  • Three children fall from vehicle; mothers arrested
  • REFUSING THEIR OWN MEDICINE: Vaccination policy spurs legal action




  • The findings are echoed by another poll question about Reid's popularity that finds the four-term incumbent to be a polarizing figure in his home state.

    Half of Nevada voters had an unfavorable view of Reid, while 38 percent had a favorable view and 11 percent a neutral opinion.

    The statewide poll of 625 Nevadans who vote regularly was conducted by telephone last week by Washington-based Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. for the Review-Journal. It carries a margin of error of 4 percentage points in either direction.

    Reid's approval ratings at home have been subpar for years, particularly since he ascended to Democratic leader in 2004 and to majority leader in 2006.

    He had hoped things might improve with the departure of President George W. Bush, but that's not the case, at least not yet. The poll finds Nevadans are bullish on President Barack Obama even as they are unhappy with Reid.

    Fifty-five percent of those polled viewed Obama favorably, while 30 percent saw him unfavorably and 15 percent were neutral on the new Democratic president, who carried Nevada in last year's presidential election by 12 percentage points after years of Republican dominance in the state.

    Mason-Dixon Managing Partner Brad Coker said for now, Obama is enjoying a honeymoon with voters, while Reid still gets stuck with people's negative views of Congress.

    "Obama so far has been able to stay out of the fray and let Reid and (House Speaker Nancy) Pelosi get their hands dirty," he said. "Obama's so popular, he's a hard person to take a shot at right now, so Reid and Pelosi become the punching bags."

    Nonetheless, Coker said, Reid can expect to capitalize on Obama's popularity down the line if it lasts -- and to pay the price if the president's political standing takes a turn for the worse.

    "Reid's fortunes are going to hinge on two things: Does he draw a strong challenger, and what does the economy do," Coker said. "If Obama and his policies are seen as a success and the economy by mid-2010 appears to be doing better, these numbers will turn around some. The other side of that coin is, if the economy doesn't seem to be improving, particularly in Nevada," Reid could have a tough time.

    No major opponent has yet stepped up to face Reid.

    Reid's campaign manager said the senator does not pay much attention to polls.

    "The primary number Senator Reid is worried about is Nevada's 10.4 percent unemployment rate, and that's why he's focused on fixing the economy and creating jobs in Nevada," Brandon Hall said. "Polling numbers move up and down. The only poll that really matters is on Election Day."

    Feelings about Reid were somewhat split along party lines, though more than a third of his own partisans weren't sold on the senator.

    Some 61 percent of Democrats, 7 percent of Republicans and 30 percent of independent voters said they would vote to re-elect Reid.

    Among Republicans, 71 percent would definitely vote against Reid, a sentiment shared by 20 percent of Democrats and 50 percent of independents.

    Reid's strongest support was in liberal-leaning Clark County, where 39 percent want to see him re-elected and 42 percent want to replace him. Thirty percent of Washoe County voters and 24 percent of rural Nevadans plan to vote for Reid, while 50 percent and 54 percent, respectively, would vote against him.

    A partisan split also was seen on the question of whether Nevadans believe Obama's economic stimulus plan is working.

    Overall, 37 percent said yes, 42 percent said no and 21 percent weren't sure. But Democrats were heavily on the "yes" side, 59 percent to 18 percent, while Republicans said "no," 69 percent to 14 percent. Independents favored "no" by a narrower margin, 46 percent to 29 percent.

    "The jury is still out," Coker said. With most of the stimulus money not yet even released, the numbers might have been different if the question was not whether it's working but whether people approve of it as a policy.

    "The numbers are mixed and it's split along party lines," he said. "Twenty-one percent are saying, 'We don't know yet.' We'll track this and see how it changes."

    Reid's fellow Nevadan in the Senate, Republican John Ensign, continues to enjoy high marks from voters, with 53 percent viewing him favorably and 18 percent unfavorably.

    Another member of the state's delegation who's often mentioned as a potential Reid challenger, Rep. Dean Heller, was unknown or neutrally viewed by a majority of voters. Thirty percent viewed him favorably, 15 percent unfavorably.

    Contact reporter Molly Ball at mball@reviewjournal.com or 702-387-2919.

    Newsvine Digg Fark Technorati reddit StumbleUpon del.icio.us Slashdot Propeller Mixx Furl Twitter MySpace Facebook Google Bookmarks Yahoo! Bookmarks Windows Live Favorites Ask MyStuff myAOL Favorites

    Leave Your Comment 90 Reader Comments
    Terms & Conditions
    The following comments are provided by readers and are the sole responsiblity of the authors. The reviewjournal.com does not review comments before publication nor guarantee their accuracy. By publishing a comment here you agree to abide by the comment policy. If you see a comment that violates the policy, please notify the web editor.

    Some comments may not display immediately due to an automatic filter. These comments will be reviewed within 48 hours. Please do not submit a comment more than once.
    Current Word Count:

    Note: Comments made by reporters and editors of the Las Vegas Review-Journal are presented with a yellow background.

    Report abuse

    Miguel Grande wrote on July 11, 2009 01:00 PM: The recent Rasmussen Poll clearly shows that more people disapprove of Obama than approve. He's pulling George Bush numbers now. I believe that election fraud and main stream media complicity, will keep Reid in office forever.


    Report abuse

    shajaq wrote on June 26, 2009 09:35 PM: Very Sad is spot on!

    While we Nevadans are trying to figure out how to pay our bills, how to keep/find jobs, how to educate our children, how to keep our homes (that have lost 30-40-50%, if we are lucky, in value) etc etc etc, this nube is lining his pockets and glad-handing in Washington. He has tossed so many programs that brought revenue to the state of Nevada, primarily to line his own pockets!

    Ask him about the property he owns (under an assumed corporation how many levels deep, of course) near the Yucca Mountain project.

    Oh, and let's not forget the property he owns near Ely.

    We could go on ad nauseum.

    How this joker ever convinced us to elect him to begin with, how he ever got into the position of power he has in Washington ( he isn't even a nice or attractive person ;) ) is beyond me.

    Must have a safe full of of 8" X 10" glossies :(

    I sincerely hope that there are still enough republicans in this state to vote him out. Not likely since we have been inundated with the influx from that western state but maybe even the democraps are sick of this joker!


    Report abuse

    guido pompili wrote on June 23, 2009 01:00 PM: I would strongly suggest people look into Senator Reids past dealings on the Nevada gaming commission,relationship to Mike O'Callahan and his horrific opposition to funding of education.With a state of less than 4 million people he definetley is offensive to the rest of the nation.


    Report abuse

    Dennis wrote on June 19, 2009 12:57 PM: Why is this an issue. The senate voted in term limits in 1994. That makes Harry out next year. I know he's been fighting it. Has he been able to overturn it?


    Report abuse

    Stu wrote on May 30, 2009 05:09 AM: Harry Reid has been a disappointment for Nevada. I thought he would have performed better for our state. Instead, I continue to be disappointed with his partisan attacks and apparent corruption.


    Report abuse

    Forrest wrote on May 27, 2009 08:26 AM: Dear Molly: I read all the comments on your article, and there were a lot of them. Over 80% of the comments came from Republicans across the United States who can't stand Democats - particularly Harry Reid. But not a single comment summed up why this election will be close - if the Republicans find a good candidate and then raise about $10 million for their champion. First off, it must be stated that Republican voters will be a very small factor in this election - there aren't enough of them left in Nevada; Democrats and Independents will decide the outcome of this race. Most of the Republicans who posted their comments about your article will only push fence-sitters to Harry, this is because most of these comments are so nasty and dimwitted.
    I am a Democrat and I will vote for Harry Reid, but with no enthusiam. Last night I attended the Harry Reid/Barack Obama fundraiser at Caesars Palace, along with 19 other members of my local union. Harry has won on the Yucca Mountain Project (YMP) - he has killed this $100 billion, 100% union construction project, and all the money that it has, and would have continued to bring into southern Nevada. But that wasn't good enough for Harry; in his speech last night he had to do a victory lap, reminding all the YMP construction workers, engineers and clerical personnel how he had put them in the unemployment line. That is why Harry's political polls are the way they are, and why Harry's 2010 race has the potential to be very close - Republicans are a non-factor, but angry crossover Democrats could make this race as tight as the Reid/Ensign race a few years back.


    Report abuse

    oldman says wrote on May 27, 2009 06:37 AM: YOU STAY STRONG WHEN YOU LISTEN MANY POLITIANS FORGET THAT!!!! PRESDENT OBAMA'S STENGTH COMES FROM ASKING FOR OTHERS OPPION.FILTER IT AND USE THE BEST IDEAS.PRESIDENT OBAMA WILL MAKE MISTAKES,BUT I SEE HIM AJUSTING AND IMPROVING WE ALL NEED TO HELP HIM HELP US HARRY REID NEEDS TO ADJUST HIS THINKING HE JUST THINKS HE KNOWS IT ALL.


    Report abuse

    jimbo wrote on May 24, 2009 06:46 AM: The senator doesnt really listen to anyone, much less the polls. He is an arrogant snob who is drunk on the power he has. I suspect Nevadans leave him in power cause at least he gives Nevada some clout in the Senate. BUT, he doesnt really stick up for Nevada anyway, so this feeling is misguided.

    Where was Reid during bailout discussions sticking up for our tourist industry. Where was he when Obama made that crack about businesses wasting their money on vegas? Did he call Obama on the carpet for that? NO.

    As far as yucca mountain is concerned, I really doubt Reid did anything at all. Obama just didnt want to spend the money on yucca mountain as part of his new agenda, so he just put it on the back burner for awhile.

    Lets get someone who is on the side of Nevada.


    Report abuse

    Malcom Z wrote on May 20, 2009 04:18 PM: I think it's about time that Nevada throw out Harry Reid. The policies he represents are abject failures across the board. It's really an amazing thing that Reid has lasted as long as he has. Finally Nevadans are waking up.


    Report abuse

    raymond pratt wrote on May 20, 2009 02:37 PM: Overall, I would consider these polls pretty encouraging. All we need to get rid of Reid in 2010 is a strong candidate; Someone able to withstand the barrage of attacks that will undoubtedly come from Reid and his campaign machine. That' no gimme, just ask Brian Krolicki. We posted an article about him on our blog stating he (and we agree) believes Harry Reid was behind the charges brought against him. I also entered another article inspired by this one here: http://www.beatreid.com/2009/05/polls-say-nevadans-not-wild-about-harry/#more-147

    RP


    Read All Comments