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NEVADA ECONOMY: Jobless rate jumps in Nevada, Las Vegas

Area hit hard as consumers continue to conserve, business sheds labor







Unemployment continues to set records in Nevada and Las Vegas, and experts forecast higher joblessness in coming months even as the city's biggest resort begins hiring Monday.

Unemployment has spiked nearly a percentage point statewide, jumping from 12.5 percent in July to 13.2 percent in August, the state Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation said Friday. August's statewide unemployment rate was nearly triple the level at the recession's beginning in December 2007, when joblessness clocked in at 5.2 percent.


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  • Unemployment in Las Vegas rose from 13.1 percent to 13.4 percent from July to August. The nation's unemployment went from 9.4 percent to 9.7 percent.

    "The economic climate in Nevada continues to be challenged," said Brian Gordon, a principal in local research firm Applied Analysis. "The latest lagging indicator suggests that conditions are eroding further rather than experiencing any stabilization."

    That's because consumers nationwide continue to hoard their cash, said Keith Schwer, director of the Center for Business and Economic Research at the University of Nevada-Las Vegas. Though Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Tuesday that the national recession is "very likely over," consumers remain concerned about their personal finances. Saving and paying down debt have supplanted the free-spending habits of yore, as Americans prepare for sustained hard times.

    "This is a deep recession nationally, and we're dependent on people spending their money here," Schwer said. "Generally, people are taking a more conservative view in terms of their money."

    The employment department's published rate isn't a complete accounting of joblessness. The numbers come mostly from surveys of households and businesses. They don't include discouraged residents who've quit seeking work, nor do they account for underemployed workers who can find only part-time jobs. In the second quarter, those statistics showed a 12-month average of 15.2 percent joblessness in Nevada. A state economist said in August that current overall numbers likely run close to 20 percent, and Schwer agreed with that analysis.

    Officially, 183,000 Nevadans were out of work and actively hunting for jobs in August. In Las Vegas, 135,100 residents were unemployed. The state has lost 84,400 jobs in the past year, including 31,000 construction jobs, more than a quarter of the sector's work force, and 24,000 jobs in leisure and hospitality. Government employment dropped by 3,500.

    Only the combined category of education and health services managed to add workers, with 1,400 new jobs on the payroll year-over-year in August.

    Las Vegas employers slashed 60,400 jobs in the year, with two-thirds of those losses coming in construction and leisure.

    The loss of hospitality jobs could moderate soon.

    MGM Mirage plans to extend its first job offers Monday to applicants seeking positions at the company's CityCenter. The Strip resort, which begins opening in December, will employ about 12,000 workers, though 9,000 construction workers will lose their jobs as building wraps up.

    "The net impact will be somewhat modest in the big picture, but it's very important for those who are able to obtain employment as a result of that project," Gordon said.

    Don't count on stabilized job losses overall in 2009, because layoffs are a lagging indicator that take a year on average to turn around after a recession ends, Schwer said.

    The employment department put together a peak-jobless estimate of 13.7 percent to plan for replenishing the nearly empty unemployment trust fund that pays for workers' jobless benefits. Anderson said the department continues to revise that number and will have a firmer figure in October.

    Schwer said joblesses could reach 14 percent, while Gordon said a high of 15 percent is possible.

    Joblessness should stabilize in 2010, and growth should return to the Silver State in 2011, Anderson said. But don't expect the 6 percent annual job growth Nevada enjoyed from 2004 to 2006. State economists forecast an expansion rate of about half that number, at 3 percent a year.

    "Once we do emerge into recovery, Nevada will once again perform at a rate quite respectable relative to the nation as a whole," Anderson said.

    Contact reporter Jennifer Robison at jrobison@reviewjournal.com or 702-380-4512.

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    john lindsay wrote on September 24, 2009 08:02 AM: Well one thing for sure our MAYOR is not on the ball. he has had an offer to look at the probability of some 2200 new jobs for the state and 215 new jobs for our city with 40 jobs but he does not keep appointments we are just about ready to take these jobs to california or illinois, frankly I am tired of waiting on goodman,and these are non gaming jobs


    randy wrote on September 21, 2009 05:29 AM: Let's face it folks, the average American is now terrified about his/her financial future as the consumer wealth effect quickly disappeared in a puff of housing bubble released hot-air. Additionally, Joe-six pack is now in debt up to his eyeballs - and due to lack of new credit availability - he's unable to roll-over his debt as in years past. This has caused consumer spending (70% of the US economy) to fall sharply, leading to higher unemployment - feeding upon itself, etc.

    Bottom line:

    The Las Vegas economic situation is bad now, but we're no where near the end - unemployment will continue to rise as tourism flounders under the growing nationwide economic strain while the discretionary spending of those who do decide to come to Vegas continues to decline...

    Note: All this on top of our national economic crisis and the potential currency collapse (and 3rd world status) that lies in our future - induced by trying to bail out each/every one of our financial institutions and the attempt to print our way back to prosperity - it just won't work folks.


    randy wrote on September 21, 2009 05:28 AM: Las Vegas’s economy has been completely dependent on the discretionary spending of vacationers (Airlines, Hotels, Restaurants, Shows, Gambling, Drinking, Strip Clubs, etc) and the city lacks any real diversification.

    Now that tourism & discretionary spending have declined (due to collapsing property values, sinking retirement plans, lack of credit and rising unemployment rates) gaming revenues have cratered, hotel occupancy rates have fallen, construction has ceased and and thousands of local layoffs have followed.

    These unemployed locals quickly find that they have very limited options, as the entire hotel, gaming & construction industry is feeling the same economic pains and no one is hiring - the lack of industry diversification in the city has been a killer!

    Currently, with economists and gvt officials talking about green shoots and lights at the end of the tunnel, many consumers are holding on to the false hope a recovery is right around the corner. Unfortunately they will be sorely disappointed. Yes, there is a light at the end of the tunnel, but - unbeknownst to most - it's a high-speed, fully loaded freight-train barreling out of control.


    Randy wrote on September 21, 2009 05:27 AM: http://economicrot.blogspot.com/2009/09/las-vegas-unemployment-soars-to-new.html


    Growth in Las Vegas was absolutely phenomenal through the last decade leading up to 2006/7. This was a decade of prosperity driven by cheap credit (both consumer and business) and rising asset values - spawned by the bubble policies of both our government and the (non) Federal Reserve. These monetary drivers created a consumer wealth effect and influenced a carefree lifestyle - tourists had lots of cheap, easy money and access to huge credit lines (HELOC, etc) if they needed more to spend in the City of Sin (all in the name of having a good time and living for the here and now). That lifestyle however has now come to an end and the huge party bills have come due (for the consumer, the city, the state and nation).


    NOW wrote on September 20, 2009 10:16 AM: Wow, I'm an idiot? Thanks for the constructive criticism and superb insight, Sam. It's backed up with very good research and analysis. Who could have known?

    Dahn, obviously you are correct: Posters like Sam do not want to understand what governs and shapes their being and every fabric of their lives. This happens to them without their knowledge and yet these entities are hiding in plain sight right in front of their eyes.

    I was like this for 30 plus years of my life. I knew something didn't add up, that something just wasn't right. But what? The information is out there. You have to have the appetite to go and research it on your own.

    This rabbit hole is deep and I wouldn't believe any of it if it weren't for a few key pieces of information. The economic malaise that Vegas is experiencing is by design. Vegas is just a drop in the bucket. The picture is much more, the design further than I though possible, but it is true.


    GH wrote on September 20, 2009 12:07 AM: July 2005

    Then-Minority Leader Harry Reid rejects legislation reforming GSEs, “while I favor improving oversight by our federal housing regulators to ensure safety and soundness, we cannot pass legislation that could limit Americans from owning homes and potentially harm our economy in the process.” (”Dems Rip New Fannie Mae Regulatory Measure,” United Press International, 7/28/05

    Thanks Harry!


    governor palin wrote on September 19, 2009 10:49 PM: seems to me that if you want the "eye legals" to not be a drain on the economy , you'd all be in favor of giving documentation to the ones that are not in jail/gangs, since they actually would be paying taxes. Historically, the european immigrants assimialated FASTER because they either brought their entire families with them( since there was no quota if you were western or northern European( "pure" white)) or their families that stayed behind were not a, lets say, at most a 16 hour plane ride away. also most immigrants had the same idea, come over when im young, work all my life, then go back when i'm old, but many decided to stay. Lastly, many also came because of their incompetent/corrupt governments, so rather than stay behind and try to change things, they decided to come over to the U.S.A

    Now, if their were no "eye legals" their would still be plenty of other immigrants who would come on as guest workers and probably still " steal/ take " jobs.


    patrick wrote on September 19, 2009 08:49 PM: Nevada has lots of things going against it, and very few going for it. Unless and until this state decides to take steps which move it toward a sustainable future it will remain completely dependent on the rest of the country for everything.

    If the last two years hasn't demonstrated the complete and utter dependence this country has on the rest of the country being productive nothing will. If Nevada refuses to actually invest in its future, and remain instead entirely dependent, a parasitic economy, it will perish.

    Oh, and by the way, gaming is doomed.


    Dahn Shaulis wrote on September 19, 2009 08:15 PM: Sam and Mike I'm guessing you come from places that actually value education and quality of life. But I believe there is some hope if people in this town struggle for democracy, justice, and quality of life. I'd hate to see that the biggest tour a half century from now could be "the Fabulous Ruins of Las Vegas." But based on the current 2020 plans, it appears that's the direction we're headed. If people pull together, though, it may be possible to avert this disastrous scenario.


    m wrote on September 19, 2009 07:55 PM: And Oscar thinks a Mob Museum is the key to turning around the Vegas economy. Imagine what he would do as governor!!!


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