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JOHN L. SMITH: Maglev ghost train has generated spirited debate, not much else

The image of the amazing, colossal maglev shimmers in the distant desert like a ghost train in a dime novel.

Its superior technology enables it to climb the mountains conventional trains must skirt. It licks up the long valleys at a top speed of 310 mph, far faster than the competition. And because it glides on a concrete and steel guideway system instead of a simple set of tracks, it's more expensive but also promises to generate far more construction jobs in a vicious recession.


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  • While the amazing, colossal desert ghost train remains an illusion, its troubles are very real. Now that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has publicly endorsed the rival DesertXpress project despite its substantial shortcomings -- most obviously its unintentionally comical Victorville-to-Vegas route -- maglev has lost its political purchase.

    After calling into question the time it has taken to see the maglev materialize, earlier this year Reid all but declared it dead when he sided with DesertXpress and its chief political promoter, Sig Rogich, who also happens to head "Republicans for Reid."

    Just this week, Gov. Jim Gibbons sparred with Reid over the disbursement of $45 million from the Federal Railroad Administration to Nevada transportation officials to start the maglev project. While the dollars were designed to go toward the California-Nevada Interstate Maglev Project, which is loosely scheduled to break ground in 18 months, Reid spokesman Jon Summers derided the plan: "Maglev has been talking about it for 30 years, but they have not made any progress on it."

    Can the futuristic maglev project be resurrected despite such powerful political opposition?

    You might say American Magline Group president Neil Cummings has everything riding on it.

    He makes persuasive arguments for maglev's technology and potential to connect Las Vegas with Anaheim. It's more costly than the steel-wheel alternative, approximately $13 billion versus $4 billion according to a March 2009 U.S. Government Accountability Office report, but it also stretches 86 miles farther from one metro area to another. While DesertXpress is designed primarily as a "gamblers' express," Cummings said maglev makes practical sense for Southern Nevada residents traveling to Southern California.

    But when one of the most powerful politicians in America says your $13 billion project could cost $40 billion, a figure not supported in the GAO report, you know you're in trouble.

    "We think we can get Senator Reid back in our corner, eventually," Cummings said. "We hope to do that. If he'd been told $40 billion, I can see why he'd think maglev was real expensive. But the GAO report doesn't say that. It's not true."

    Cummings' group has many things working against it, including the fact that the longest maglev line in the world is just 19 miles, but American Magline has picked up an important ally in Nevada AFL-CIO executive secretary-treasurer Danny Thompson. A member of the interstate train commission, Thompson has studied the issue for a decade.

    "The train in and of itself will be an attraction for Las Vegas," Thompson said. "There is no other maglev train in the United States. ... The technology is sound. It works. It will work. It will be an amazing attraction."

    It also will generate thousands of jobs for Nevada construction workers. (American Magline estimates 90,000 construction jobs will be created. Even if that estimate is 66 percent inflated, it's still 30,000 jobs at a time the state's work force is desperate.)

    Compared to the laying of tracks made from Chinese steel, Thompson said maglev is the best deal for Nevada workers. That statement puts this campaign-savvy organized labor boss on the opposite side of an issue with his most important and powerful political partner.

    "I support Harry Reid 150 percent," Thompson said quickly. "I respect Harry's position. I've just been associated with this thing too long and know what it could be for Southern Nevada. I think it would be a great thing for Southern Nevada."

    This issue holds the potential of big trouble for Reid, who can ill afford a misstep as he seeks re-election. The last thing Nevada's self-styled friend of the workingman wants is to be perceived as a dealmaker who placed his political ambition above potential job creation.

    That presumes those thousands of construction jobs, like the phantasmagorical maglev train itself, aren't also of the ghost variety.

    John L. Smith's column appears Sunday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday. E-mail him at Smith@reviewjournal.com or call (702) 383-0295. He also blogs at lvrj.com/blogs/smith.

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    Perry Kravec wrote on October 06, 2009 05:00 PM: The Japs and the Germans already have proven that Maglev is too expensive. American Maglev has the most efficient and feasible system.. and it too is more expensive than a rail system.
    It's a real joke that it will create jobs... sure jobs for a year or two. then what?
    To create real jobs we have to stop the Unfair Trade.
    We have to level the playing field for American Companies.


    Richard Rider - Chairman - San Diego Tax Fighters wrote on September 23, 2009 08:50 AM: Lastly, the train's ticket revenue will not cover even its annual OPERATING costs -- let alone the initial capital costs, or the cost of replacing worn out rolling stock and track 30 years down the (rail)road. No passenger train in the country – perhaps in the world – covers its operating costs with fare box revenue.

    The good news is that I doubt this pipe dream will ever be built. The money simply will not appear. But regardless, we taxpayers will pay interest forever on the $45 million federal seed money – spent by proponents largely to raise more money!


    Richard Rider - Chairman - San Diego Tax Fighters wrote on September 23, 2009 08:49 AM: Furthermore, anyone who believes the train will cost ONLY $12 billion hasn't been following this passenger rail con game for the last 100 years -- the proponents ALWAYS grossly understate the true cost (to get the project started). Our most recent example is San Diego County's Sprinter light rail train that came in MANY TIMES higher than its original projected cost.


    Richard Rider - Chairman - San Diego Tax Fighters wrote on September 23, 2009 08:48 AM: So the feds are doling out $45 million for the proposed maglev Anaheim to Las Vegas high speed train, putting the bill on the taxpayers' credit card (it simply adds to the national debt we will pay forever). Great.

    And how much is the train projected to cost? $12 BILLION! Let's see -- that $45 million is 0.0375% of the total cost. No, not 3.75%. $45 million is less than four one-hundredth of one percent of the projected cost.


    Don G wrote on September 21, 2009 07:58 PM: There is something extremely wrong with reporting dacts "apples=apples"? Also, what one really needs to actually examine is WHY DesertX is not going to Anaheim? They claim that this Victorville is ideal and yet all travelers by car must then go over the mountains. They also don't discuss exactly how lame standard rail is on steep grades, freeze conditions and even rain. The prices have been shown to be $13B versus $4B but everyone fails to account for the fact that you're comparing a 269 mile line that will indeed trael at over 300 MPH consistantly to DesertX that will cover only 186 miles and travel on the flat runs at perhaps 130'ish MPH.

    DesertX's website states "With the station in Victorville, DesertXpress avoids the uncertainty of the challenging 200-mile drive across the Mojave Desert that could take anywhere from 4 hours to 10 hours – you never know, because of congestion and incidents or accidents."

    Goggle directions states that the trip is 186 miles by highway and it takes 2hrs 44 minutes. Goggle only makes clear that a trip from Anaheim to Vegas can vary from a normal of
    3hrs 56 mins to as much as 5hrs 30 mins with heavy traffic in the basin area.

    The maglev trip is a proven 80 minute total trip as compared to a car trip to Victorville and a 86 min ride on DesertX as claimed by the website. That number seems to be bogus since it is based on the top speed of the train and not the average.

    When DesertX can offer a total cost to go to Anaheim, then we must remain suspicious of the total costs.

    Japan invented highspeed. Now they are planning to replace it with their own maglev so ask yourself why?


    Reid's Right wrote on September 21, 2009 02:05 PM: I tend to agree with Reid on this one. Maglev is about 10 billion dollars more expensive, the technology is basically untried in this country, and it’s been talked about for decades. Meanwhile, we have tried-and-true railroad technology already in use in this country. It’s the more prudent choice.

    Plus, with all the money saved, I’m sure you could build out multiple arms from its termination point in California to any other major hub in California.

    I also love the mention of Gibbons in this article. What a buffoon. Didn’t he get criticized immediately after sending a release crowing about the 45 million when the federal railroad agency responded that they hadn’t made the guarantee? Gibbons jumped the gun trying to score a political point and got smacked down.


    Crazy Talk wrote on September 21, 2009 10:16 AM: Am I the only one who caught the fact that Maglev will only go to Primm for its first leg? And exactly how much will that cost us? For that matter how much Gov't $$ have they spent over the last 30 years?? What does the $45 million get us on a $3billion project? How about some accountability here?


    Jennifer wrote on September 21, 2009 10:14 AM: Nevada and California need jobs now. With a completed Draft EIS and proven steel wheel trains, DesertXpress will create jobs far sooner than Maglev. The Maglev project they are trying to get environmentally cleared only goes 40 miles to Primm – NOT to Anaheim. They have no money to build it to Primm, let alone to Anaheim, and would need tens of billions of taxpayer dollars to do so. Three public agencies considering maglev completed independent studies that pegged its cost at $100 to $200 million per mile – which would make it $26 to $52 billion – not $13 billion. Also there are no existing safety standards in the US for Maglev, this could take years to develop and get approved. The German government, whose taxpayers paid for the development of the maglev technology, has completely abandoned the technology in favor of more high speed rail. The Chinese Government decided not to extend the short (19-mile) line feeding Shanghai Airport; instead, they are building the world’s largest high speed rail network.

    Thirty years ago when Maglev technology was first introduced, it promised speeds never before imagined in rail. Since then, steel wheel has gone through many evolutions and set speed records only a few miles an hour slower than Maglev. High speed trains operate at speeds up to 220 mph. The maglev has never operated anywhere outside of a test run at speeds any faster than that. The trains selected to operate at 150 mph for the first phase of DesertXpress have been certified to run at speeds up to 186 mph.


    DesertXpress’s first phase goes 200 miles into Southern California at no cost to the taxpayers. DesertXpress’s second phase to Palmdale will connect with the entire state through its voter-approved high speed rail network.


    Free Nevada Meat Tokens wrote on September 21, 2009 09:59 AM: When MagLev is completed, the demographics and size of Clark County will rapidly change to encompass more educated people making more money and better decisions. The entire Southwest region will be transformed forever by high-speed cheap cargo and people transit. All land-intensive employment will move out of California to be replaced by services (ala New York and London) while housing in both California and Nevada begins skyrockets. We should plan on $40B and it should be purely financed by the government because the return on that investment will be drawn from many sectors of the economy, not simply from "ticket sales." MagLev's have few moving parts and are lower cost to maintain for the next 100 years --and they can't be taken over and flown into the Pentagon so with a simple biometric (palm print) you can have "walk-on/off" convenience without full body imaging or hours stuck on the tarmac.

    Also, DesertXpress' planned route is through 4000-6000 ft mountain passes, and we all know that they aren't going to go much faster than 30mph up those things, especially when it's snowing, raining or foggy. As they travel across the floor of the Mojave they will be subject to tremendous cross winds and they are not securely coupled to the tracks like a MagLev. And, of course, if you've ever been on a Metrolink or Aamtrak you know it's like being dragged through town in a slow-moving car that breaks down often, not to mention collides with people and animals, sometimes even cars, far more often than non-train-riders realize.


    Spike Flaherty wrote on September 21, 2009 09:15 AM: Neil Cummings does the old rabbit out of the hat trick once again. maglev is not able to climb grades any better than conventional rail, conventional rail is able to travel just as fast as maglev, and the cost of maglev is estimated at 100 million a mile...also Cummings had a chance to secure the 40 million 3 years ago...all he had to do was show some progress...zero to date, and as for his claim that they can break ground in 18 months (pure fantasy) thay haven't even begun the EIS process...that will take 2 to 3 years in its own right...if you want jobs DesertXpress is ready to build next year


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